Zero Risk Football Prediction Today

Tuesday, July 14, 2026 8 safer picks today 167 fixtures analysed 67% accuracy (2/3)
Important: There is no such thing as a truly zero risk football bet. This page presents lower-risk picks — high-confidence selections at small odds (under 2.20) that carry less statistical variance than average. Upsets still happen at 1.20. All picks are probability estimates, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly. 18+ only.
Today's Match Progress 5% completed
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Written & Reviewed By
SupaTips Analytics Team — Football Prediction Research Desk

The team filters today's lower-risk picks by model confidence and odds range — only selections at 65%+ confidence and under 2.20 make this shortlist. Reviewed each morning before publishing. Read more →

Today's Lower-Risk Picks 65%+ confidence · odds under 2.20
Very Low Risk
Larne vs Tre Fiori
UEFA Champions League, Europe
1 · Home Win @ 1.14
85% confidence Un1.5 KO 19:00
Larne are priced at 1.14 — 88% implied probability. At 85% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Un1.5.
Very Low Risk
Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja Luka
UEFA Champions League, Europe
1 · Home Win @ 1.29
80% confidence Un2.5 KO 17:30
Levski Sofia are priced at 1.29 — 78% implied probability. At 80% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Un2.5.
Very Low Risk
Weiz vs Ilzer SV
Friendlies Clubs, World
1 · Home Win @ 1.55
85% confidence Ov3.5 KO 17:00
Weiz are priced at 1.55 — 65% implied probability. At 85% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Ov3.5.
Low Risk
Cork City vs Cardiff
Friendlies Clubs, World
2 · Away Win @ 1.67
85% confidence Ov3.5 KO 18:45
Cardiff at 1.67 (60% implied). The model backs the away side at 85% confidence — a compact odds range that limits exposure. Goals signal: Ov3.5.
Very Low Risk
United of Manchester vs Rochdale
Friendlies Clubs, World
2 · Away Win @ 1.40
80% confidence Ov3.5 KO 18:45
Rochdale at 1.40 (71% implied). The model backs the away side at 80% confidence — a compact odds range that limits exposure. Goals signal: Ov3.5.
Very Low Risk
Ilves II vs GrIFK
Kakkonen Lohko B, Finland
1 · Home Win @ 1.50
80% confidence Ov3.5 KO 16:00
Ilves II are priced at 1.50 — 67% implied probability. At 80% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Ov3.5.
Very Low Risk
KuPS vs Vardar Skopje
UEFA Champions League, Europe
1 · Home Win @ 1.57
80% confidence Un2.5 KO 15:00
KuPS are priced at 1.57 — 64% implied probability. At 80% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Un2.5.
Very Low Risk
Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn
UEFA Champions League, Europe
1 · Home Win @ 1.53
80% confidence Ov3.5 KO 16:00
Saburtalo are priced at 1.53 — 65% implied probability. At 80% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Ov3.5.
Full Fixture List — 167 matches
🏆 Europe : UEFA Champions League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
KuPS Vardar Skopje 14/07/2026 15:00
1.57
4.20
4.75
1 80%
Un2.5
Saburtalo Flora Tallinn 14/07/2026 16:00
1.53
4.20
5.10
1 80%
Ov3.5
Inter Club d'Escaldes Lincoln Red Imps FC 14/07/2026 16:00
1.70
4.30
3.70
1 70%
Ov3.5
Gyori ETO FC Vikingur Reykjavik 14/07/2026 17:00
1.68
3.90
4.20
1 80%
Un1.5
Riga Ararat-Armenia 14/07/2026 17:00
1.75
3.65
4.10
1 80%
Un2.5
Levski Sofia Borac Banja Luka 14/07/2026 17:30
1.29
4.50
10.75
1 80%
Un2.5
The New Saints Sabah FA 14/07/2026 17:30
4.90
4.33
1.53
2 75%
Un2.5
Drita Kauno Žalgiris 14/07/2026 18:00
1 55%
Un2.5
Larne Tre Fiori 14/07/2026 19:00
1.14
6.25
18.50
1 85%
Un1.5
Shamrock Rovers Floriana 14/07/2026 19:00
1.28
5.25
8.60
1 70%
Un2.5
🏆 Europe : UEFA Europa Conference League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
La Fiorita UNA Strassen 14/07/2026 19:00
7.50
3.95
1.40
2 70%
Un1.5
Argentina flag Argentina : Primera Nacional
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Atlanta Colegiales 14/07/2026 00:00
1.77
2.80
5.60
1 75%
Un2.5
1-0 (0-0)
Canada flag Canada : Canadian Championship
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Cavalry FC Vancouver Whitecaps 14/07/2026 01:30
3.80
3.75
1.75
2 70%
Ov3.5
1-1 (0-0)
🏆 World : Friendlies Clubs
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
ASA Targu Mures Popești-Leordeni 14/07/2026 08:00
X 95%
Ov3.5
1-1 (1-1)
Wisla Plock Bohemians 1905 14/07/2026 09:00
1 55%
Un3.5
1-0 (1-0)
FC Andorra Millwall 14/07/2026 09:00
X 95%
Un3.5
Dordrecht Borussia Dortmund II 14/07/2026 09:00
1.95
3.80
2.90
1 70%
Ov3.5
Polessya Shimizu S-pulse 14/07/2026 09:00
1 55%
Ov3.5
1-1 (1-1)
Malženice Beşiktaş 14/07/2026 09:00
1 60%
Ov3.5
Maritimo AVS 14/07/2026 09:30
2 70%
Un1.5
Legia Warszawa Radomiak Radom 14/07/2026 10:00
1.67
3.50
4.33
1 70%
Un3.5
0-0 (0-0)
Korona Kielce Stal Rzeszów 14/07/2026 12:00
1.36
4.50
6.25
1 70%
Ov3.5
Chester Fleetwood Town 14/07/2026 12:00
2 60%
Ov3.5
Southend Cambridge United 14/07/2026 12:00
1 65%
Ov3.5
Macva Naftagas 14/07/2026 12:00
1.48
3.80
5.75
1 70%
Un2.5
SC Braga Vizela 14/07/2026 12:00
1 75%
Un2.5
Spartak Pleven Hapoel Petah Tikva 14/07/2026 12:00
2 60%
Un2.5
Dinamo Zagreb LNZ Cherkasy 14/07/2026 12:00
2 60%
Un3.5
AB Copenhagen Helsingborg 14/07/2026 12:00
2 60%
Un3.5
Barbate Cadiz 14/07/2026 12:00
X 95%
Un1.5
Legia Warszawa II Barycz Sułów 14/07/2026 12:00
1 55%
Un3.5
Livyi Bereh Viktoriya Mykolaivka 14/07/2026 12:00
1 70%
Un2.5
Oleksandria Oleksandria II 14/07/2026 12:00
X 95%
Ov2.5
Meshakhte FC Urartu 14/07/2026 12:00
1 60%
Ov3.5
Sardarapat Van 14/07/2026 12:00
2 70%
Ov2.5
Plzen Polessya 14/07/2026 13:30
2 65%
Ov3.5
Dukla Banská Bystrica Hapoel Tel Aviv 14/07/2026 14:00
3.60
4.33
1.65
2 80%
Ov2.5
Lokomotiv CSKA Moscow 14/07/2026 14:00
2.51
3.64
2.51
1 55%
Ov3.5
SV Wehen Fagiano Okayama 14/07/2026 14:00
3.20
4.10
1.80
2 80%
Un1.5
Slovan Liberec Puskas Academy 14/07/2026 15:00
2.70
3.75
2.10
1 60%
Ov2.5
Grazer AK Paks 14/07/2026 15:30
2 60%
Ov3.5
Spartak Trnava Beşiktaş 14/07/2026 15:30
5.75
4.00
1.44
2 75%
Un3.5
SSV Ulm 1846 Augsburg II 14/07/2026 15:30
1 55%
Ov3.5
NK Slaven Belupo Sanfrecce Hiroshima 14/07/2026 15:30
2.35
3.50
2.50
1 55%
Ov3.5
Plauen FSV Zwickau 14/07/2026 16:00
2 70%
Ov3.5
SV Darmstadt 98 FC 08 Homburg 14/07/2026 16:00
2 55%
Ov3.5
Fach-Donaufeld Rapid Wien II 14/07/2026 16:00
2 55%
Ov3.5
Randers FC Notts County 14/07/2026 16:00
2 65%
Ov3.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf Ružomberok 14/07/2026 16:00
1.80
4.10
3.20
1 70%
Ov3.5
Parndorf Austria Vienna (Am) 14/07/2026 16:00
2 75%
Ov3.5
FC Winterthur Brühl 14/07/2026 16:00
1.20
5.50
11.00
1 70%
Un3.5
HIK Vanløse 14/07/2026 16:00
1 55%
Ov3.5
Port Vale Tamworth 14/07/2026 16:00
X 95%
Ov3.5
Eintracht Braunschweig Havelse 14/07/2026 16:00
1.42
4.33
5.75
1 70%
Ov3.5
Eintracht Mahlsdorf Luckenwalde 14/07/2026 16:30
2 75%
Ov1.5
Heeslinger SC VfB Oldenburg 14/07/2026 16:30
X 95%
Ov3.5
Sporting CP Celtic 14/07/2026 16:30
1.91
3.75
3.00
1 80%
Un2.5
Imst Arminia Bielefeld 14/07/2026 16:30
1.12
9.00
11.00
2 75%
Ov3.5
NEC Nijmegen V-varen Nagasaki 14/07/2026 17:00
1.62
3.75
4.33
1 80%
Ov3.5
Seraing United MVV 14/07/2026 17:00
1.80
3.75
3.40
1 70%
Ov3.5
Sparta Lichtenberg Mariendorf 14/07/2026 17:00
X 95%
Un1.5
Lokeren-Temse Olympic Charleroi 14/07/2026 17:00
1 70%
Ov3.5
Deutschlandsberger SC Lebring 14/07/2026 17:00
1 65%
Ov3.5
Weiz Ilzer SV 14/07/2026 17:00
1.55
5.00
3.75
1 85%
Ov3.5
Lask Linz Fenerbahçe 14/07/2026 17:30
1 55%
Ov3.5
Slimbridge Cheltenham 14/07/2026 18:00
X 95%
Un1.5
Hyde United AFC Fylde 14/07/2026 18:00
4.50
4.50
1.50
2 75%
Ov3.5
Alfreton Town Boston United 14/07/2026 18:00
2 55%
Un2.5
Preston Bamber Bridge 14/07/2026 18:00
1 80%
Un3.5
Redcar Athletic Hartlepool 14/07/2026 18:00
2 80%
Un1.5
Bristol Rovers Leicester 14/07/2026 18:00
1 70%
Ov3.5
Woking Portsmouth 14/07/2026 18:00
7.00
5.50
1.25
2 70%
Un3.5
AFC Emley Rotherham 14/07/2026 18:00
X 95%
Un1.5
Merthyr Town Yeovil Town 14/07/2026 18:30
3.25
4.00
1.80
2 75%
Ov3.5
Portishead Town Weston-super-Mare 14/07/2026 18:30
1 80%
Ov2.5
Dover Gillingham 14/07/2026 18:30
2 70%
Un1.5
Swindon Town Chippenham Town 14/07/2026 18:30
13.00
9.00
1.10
1 85%
Ov3.5
Wealdstone Queens Park Rangers U21 14/07/2026 18:30
X 95%
Un1.5
Hebburn Town Gateshead 14/07/2026 18:30
2 70%
Ov3.5
Marine Colwyn Bay 14/07/2026 18:30
X 95%
Ov3.5
Nairn County Ross County 14/07/2026 18:30
2 85%
Ov3.5
Holyport Maidenhead 14/07/2026 18:30
X 95%
Ov3.5
Keith Aberdeen U21 14/07/2026 18:30
X 95%
Ov3.5
Pickering Town York 14/07/2026 18:30
X 95%
Un3.5
Sligo Rovers Coleraine FC 14/07/2026 18:30
1 55%
Ov2.5
Doncaster St Patrick's Athl. 14/07/2026 18:30
2.70
3.75
2.10
X 80%
Ov2.5
Hallam Sheffield Wednesday 14/07/2026 18:30
2 60%
Ov3.5
Real Bedford Boreham Wood 14/07/2026 18:30
4.50
4.50
1.50
2 75%
Ov3.5
Cray Wanderers Folkestone Invicta 14/07/2026 18:45
2 70%
Ov3.5
FC Halifax Town Chesterfield 14/07/2026 18:45
4.20
3.90
1.62
2 70%
Ov3.5
Prescot Cables Crewe 14/07/2026 18:45
X 95%
Ov3.5
Sutton Athletic Dartford 14/07/2026 18:45
X 95%
Un1.5
Tonbridge Angels Sutton Utd 14/07/2026 18:45
3.70
3.80
1.73
2 75%
Ov2.5
Evesham United Worcester City 14/07/2026 18:45
1 75%
Ov1.5
Wythenshawe Town Altrincham 14/07/2026 18:45
2 70%
Ov3.5
Bath City Cardiff City U21 14/07/2026 18:45
X 95%
Un2.5
Cliftonville FC Moyola Park 14/07/2026 18:45
1 60%
Ov3.5
Leek Town Macclesfield 14/07/2026 18:45
2 70%
Un3.5
Poole Town Eastleigh 14/07/2026 18:45
1 55%
Ov3.5
Barry Town Trethomas Bluebirds 14/07/2026 18:45
1 70%
Ov2.5
Cork City Cardiff 14/07/2026 18:45
3.75
4.00
1.67
2 85%
Ov3.5
United of Manchester Rochdale 14/07/2026 18:45
5.50
4.60
1.40
2 80%
Ov3.5
AFC Hornchurch Millwall U21 14/07/2026 18:45
X 95%
Ov1.5
Welling United Braintree 14/07/2026 18:45
2 70%
Ov3.5
Bedford Town Biggleswade 14/07/2026 18:45
1 60%
Un1.5
Llandudno Rhyl 14/07/2026 18:45
1.40
5.00
5.00
1 75%
Ov3.5
Alton Town Ashford Town (Middlesex) 14/07/2026 18:45
X 95%
Ov2.5
Harlow Town Woodford Town 14/07/2026 18:45
1 55%
Un3.5
South Normanton Athletic Worksop Town 14/07/2026 18:45
X 95%
Ov3.5
Stafford Rangers Shrewsbury 14/07/2026 18:45
X 95%
Un1.5
Aveley Ebbsfleet United 14/07/2026 18:45
1 70%
Ov3.5
Bedfont Sports St Albans City 14/07/2026 18:45
3.80
4.00
1.67
2 75%
Un1.5
Barnet Watford 14/07/2026 18:45
1 70%
Un2.5
Australia flag Australia : Australia Cup
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Peninsula Power 14/07/2026 09:30
1.44
4.40
5.00
1 75%
Un1.5
0-0 (0-0)
Rochedale Rovers SD Raiders 14/07/2026 09:30
2.80
3.40
2.10
X 80%
Un1.5
0-1 (0-1)
Argentina flag Argentina : Reserve League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Atlético Tucumán Res. Aldosivi Res. 14/07/2026 11:00
1.70
3.25
4.40
1 70%
Ov2.5
Estudiantes La Plata Res Colón Res. 14/07/2026 11:00
1 65%
Un2.5
Rosario Central Res. San Lorenzo Res. 14/07/2026 11:00
2.15
3.00
3.00
1 55%
Ov2.5
Unión Santa Fe Res. Gimnasia La Plata Res. 14/07/2026 11:00
2.05
2.80
3.40
1 55%
Un2.5
China flag China : Super League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Hangzhou Greentown Qingdao Jonoon 14/07/2026 11:35
1.43
4.70
5.70
1 70%
Un3.5
Bhutan flag Bhutan : Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Bhutan U19 Drukpa 14/07/2026 12:00
2 55%
Un3.5
Kyrgyzstan flag Kyrgyzstan : Premier League
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Muras United Bars 14/07/2026 14:00
2 55%
Ov3.5
Brazil flag Brazil : Brasileiro U17
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Palmeiras U17 Flamengo RJ U17 14/07/2026 14:00
1 65%
Ov3.5
Atletico GO U17 Cruzeiro U17 14/07/2026 18:00
2 75%
Un3.5
Atlético Mineiro U17 Athletico PR U17 14/07/2026 18:00
2 60%
Ov3.5
Botafogo U17 Fortaleza U17 14/07/2026 18:00
2 65%
Un3.5
RB Bragantino U17 Juventude U17 14/07/2026 18:00
1 60%
Un3.5
Fluminense U17 Gremio U17 14/07/2026 18:00
1 70%
Un3.5
Internacional U17 Bahia U17 14/07/2026 18:00
2 60%
Un3.5
Santos U17 America MG U17 14/07/2026 18:00
2 55%
Ov2.5
Vitoria U17 Sao Paulo U17 14/07/2026 18:00
2 65%
Un2.5
Argentina flag Argentina : Torneo Promocional Amateur
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Juventud de Bernal Provincial 14/07/2026 16:00
2 60%
Ov2.5
Buenos Aires City Ezeiza 14/07/2026 17:00
2 60%
Un1.5
Finland flag Finland : Kakkonen Lohko B
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Ilves II GrIFK 14/07/2026 16:00
1.50
4.50
4.33
1 80%
Ov3.5
Iceland flag Iceland : 1. Deild
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
HK Kopavogur IR Reykjavik 14/07/2026 17:00
1.75
4.10
3.55
1 75%
Ov3.5
Grotta Grindavik 14/07/2026 18:00
1.91
3.85
3.10
1 80%
Un3.5
Argentina flag Argentina : Primera B Metropolitana
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Argentino Quilmes Arsenal Sarandi 14/07/2026 18:00
3.55
3.00
2.05
2 60%
Un2.5
Defensores Unidos Excursionistas 14/07/2026 18:00
3.10
3.00
2.25
2 55%
Un2.5
Deportivo Camioneros Liniers 14/07/2026 18:00
1.95
2.95
3.90
1 80%
Ov1.5
Dock Sud UAI Urquiza 14/07/2026 18:00
1.95
3.10
3.75
1 80%
Ov1.5
Flandria Argentino de Merlo 14/07/2026 18:00
2.45
2.85
2.95
2 55%
Ov1.5
Sportivo Italiano Villa San Carlos 14/07/2026 18:00
1.85
3.10
4.20
1 85%
Un2.5
Deportivo Armenio Talleres Remedios 14/07/2026 18:30
2.85
2.80
2.55
2 55%
Ov1.5
Brown DE Adrogue Deportivo Laferrere 14/07/2026 22:00
2.55
2.90
2.75
1 55%
Un2.5
Comunicaciones Villa Dalmine 14/07/2026 22:00
2.70
2.85
2.70
2 60%
Un2.5
Deportivo Merlo Real Pilar 14/07/2026 22:00
2.62
2.95
2.62
2 55%
Un2.5
Ituzaingó San Martín Burzaco 14/07/2026 22:00
2.62
2.95
2.62
2 55%
Un2.5
Brazil flag Brazil : Brasileiro U20 A
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Vasco da Gama U20 Cruzeiro U20 14/07/2026 18:00
2 55%
Ov2.5
Scotland flag Scotland : League Cup
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Annan Athletic Dundee 14/07/2026 18:45
2 75%
Ov3.5
Brechin Livingston 14/07/2026 18:45
2 85%
Ov3.5
Brora Rangers Aberdeen 14/07/2026 18:45
X 95%
Ov3.5
Clyde Airdrie United 14/07/2026 18:45
2 90%
Ov3.5
Cove Rangers East Kilbride 14/07/2026 18:45
2 60%
Un3.5
Dunfermline Dumbarton 14/07/2026 18:45
1 75%
Ov3.5
East Fife Morton 14/07/2026 18:45
1 55%
Un2.5
Edinburgh City Alloa Athletic 14/07/2026 18:45
2 65%
Ov3.5
Elgin City Peterhead 14/07/2026 18:45
1 60%
Ov2.5
Falkirk Ayr Utd 14/07/2026 18:45
2 55%
Ov3.5
Forfar Athletic Partick 14/07/2026 18:45
2 75%
Ov3.5
Kelty Hearts Queen's Park 14/07/2026 18:45
2 55%
Ov3.5
Kilmarnock Raith Rovers 14/07/2026 18:45
2 55%
Ov3.5
Linlithgow Rose ST Johnstone 14/07/2026 18:45
X 95%
Un1.5
Montrose Dundee Utd 14/07/2026 18:45
1 55%
Un1.5
Spartans Stirling Albion 14/07/2026 18:45
2 55%
Un2.5
🏆 World : World Cup
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
France Spain 14/07/2026 19:00
2.38
3.10
3.05
2 55%
Ov2.5
Ecuador flag Ecuador : Liga Pro
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Macara Mushuc Runa SC 14/07/2026 21:30
2.00
3.30
3.70
1 55%
Un2.5
Bolivia flag Bolivia : Primera División
1
X
2
Prediction
Goals
Real Oruro Always Ready 14/07/2026 22:00
3.70
3.80
1.77
2 75%
Un3.5
Market Safety Ratings Lower variance options
Frequently Asked Questions

Zero Risk Football Prediction Today — What It Really Means

When people search for zero risk football prediction, they are looking for picks that carry the least possible chance of losing — short odds, high confidence, and markets where the statistical probability of success is at its highest. SupaTips filters today's fixtures down to those meeting a strict dual criteria: model confidence at 65% or above and predicted odds under 2.20. These represent the lower-variance end of today's prediction pool.

The honest reality: no bet is truly zero risk. Even a 1.10 favourite loses. What we can do is identify picks where the data most strongly supports the outcome, and present those with full transparency.

The Safest Football Markets — Ranked

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How to Use These Picks Responsibly

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  • All picks are probability estimates. Not guaranteed. 18+ only.