What are lower-risk football predictions?

Lower-risk football predictions refer to selections with lower statistical variance — typically high-confidence picks at small odds (under 2.20). No football bet is truly risk-free, but certain markets and selections can reduce variance. Supatips filters for confidence 65%+ and odds under 2.20 to find today's lower-risk picks.

Are lower-risk football predictions guaranteed?

No. There are no guaranteed outcomes in football. 'Zero risk' is a term used to describe lower-variance picks — not certainties. Upsets happen even at 1.20 odds. Always bet responsibly. 18+ only.

What is the safest football betting market?

The lowest-variance markets are Double Chance, Over 1.5 Goals, and high-confidence 1X2 selections at short odds. None are guaranteed, but they offer the best statistical base for lower-risk betting.

Where can I find lower-risk football predictions today?

Supatips publishes daily lower-risk football predictions filtered by model confidence and odds range. See the Banker of the Day for the single highest-confidence pick, or browse Double Chance and Over 1.5 Goals for dedicated lower-variance markets. All free, no registration.

Lower-Risk Football Predictions Today

Wednesday, September 23, 2026 8 safer picks today 203 fixtures analysed 0% accuracy (0/1)

Supatips provides today's lower-risk football predictions using statistical models, confidence ratings and odds analysis.

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Important: There is no such thing as a truly zero risk football bet. This page presents lower-risk picks — high-confidence selections at small odds (under 2.20) that carry less statistical variance than average. Upsets still happen at 1.20. All picks are probability estimates, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly. 18+ only.

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Written & Reviewed By

Supatips Analytics Team — Football Prediction Research Desk

The team filters today's lower-risk picks by model confidence and odds range — only selections at 65%+ confidence and under 2.20 make this shortlist. Reviewed each morning before publishing. Read more →

Safer markets to explore

Banker of the Day Double Chance Over 1.5 Goals Sure Predictions 1X2 Tips Over 2.5 Goals BTTS Tips Acca Tips Must Win Teams Correct Score

Today's Lower-Risk Picks 65%+ confidence · odds under 2.20

Very Low Risk

Sparta Praha W vs Farul Constanţa W

UEFA Europa Cup Women, World

1 · Home Win @ 1.12

80% confidence Un1.5 KO 16:00 –

Sparta Praha W are priced at 1.12 — 89% implied probability. At 80% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Un1.5.

Very Low Risk

Levoča vs Liptovský Mikuláš

Cup, Slovakia

2 · Away Win @ 1.11

80% confidence Un3.5 KO 13:30 –

Liptovský Mikuláš at 1.11 (90% implied). The model backs the away side at 80% confidence — a compact odds range that limits exposure. Goals signal: Un3.5.

Very Low Risk

Japan U23 vs Thailand U23

Asian Games, Asia

1 · Home Win @ 1.17

80% confidence Ov3.5 KO 10:30 –

Japan U23 are priced at 1.17 — 85% implied probability. At 80% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Ov3.5.

Very Low Risk

Drina Zvornik vs Rudar Prijedor

1st League RS, Bosnia

1 · Home Win @ 1.42

85% confidence Un3.5 KO 14:00 –

Drina Zvornik are priced at 1.42 — 70% implied probability. At 85% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Un3.5.

Very Low Risk

Boreham Wood vs Everton U21

National League Cup, England

1 · Home Win @ 1.22

80% confidence Ov3.5 KO 18:00 –

Boreham Wood are priced at 1.22 — 82% implied probability. At 80% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Ov3.5.

Very Low Risk

Crystal Palace W vs Watford W

WSL Cup, England

1 · Home Win @ 1.25

80% confidence Un1.5 KO 18:00 –

Crystal Palace W are priced at 1.25 — 80% implied probability. At 80% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Un1.5.

Very Low Risk

Tottenham Hotspur W vs West Ham W

WSL Cup, England

1 · Home Win @ 1.25

80% confidence Un1.5 KO 18:00 –

Tottenham Hotspur W are priced at 1.25 — 80% implied probability. At 80% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Un1.5.

Very Low Risk

Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu

Emperor Cup, Japan

1 · Home Win @ 1.29

80% confidence Ov3.5 KO 08:00 –

Kashima are priced at 1.29 — 78% implied probability. At 80% model confidence and sub-2.20 odds, this sits firmly in the lower-variance bracket. Goals signal: Ov3.5.

Full Fixture List — 203 matches

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Pred 1X2 Double chance HT / FT Over/Under(1.5) Over/Under(2.5) Both To Score Correct Score

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QUICK LINKS · All predictions & leagues

28 ▲

Predictions

Today Live Tomorrow Weekend Upcoming Finished Yesterday Jackpots HOT

Bet Types

1×2 Double Chance Over 1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 BTTS Correct Score HT/FT Accumulators Banker of Day Sure 2 Sure 3 Must Win HOT Draw No Bet Win Either Half Zero Risk Hot Picks Sure Picks Sokafans Trends

Top Leagues

England : FA Cup

Prediction

Goals

Exmouth Thame United 23/09/2026 18:45

–

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Colombia : Primera A

Prediction

Goals

Santa Fe Deportivo Cali 23/09/2026 01:00

2.05

3.00

3.70

1 60% ✕

Un2.5

0-1 (0-1)

🏆 Asia : Asian Games

Prediction

Goals

China PR U23 UAE U23 23/09/2026 05:30

1.85

2.90

4.20

1 75% –

Ov1.5

0-0 (0-0)

Iran U23 Korea DPR U23 23/09/2026 05:30

1.80

3.10

4.40

1 80% –

Ov1.5

0-0 (0-0)

Japan U23 Thailand U23 23/09/2026 10:30

1.17

6.00

13.00

1 80% –

Ov3.5

–

Kyrgyz Republic U23 Hong Kong U23 23/09/2026 10:30

1.57

3.70

5.00

1 80% –

Ov3.5

–

Japan : Emperor Cup

Prediction

Goals

Gamba Osaka Tokushima Vortis 23/09/2026 08:00

1.60

3.50

4.60

1 75% –

Ov2.5

–

Kashima Ventforet Kofu 23/09/2026 08:00

1.29

4.40

9.50

1 80% –

Ov3.5

–

Kashiwa Reysol Imabari 23/09/2026 08:00

1.14

6.50

15.00

1 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Kyoto Sanga Fujieda MYFC 23/09/2026 08:00

1.62

3.75

4.20

1 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Machida Zelvia Tochigi City 23/09/2026 08:00

1.33

5.00

6.00

1 75% –

Un3.5

–

Vissel Kobe Sagan Tosu 23/09/2026 08:00

1.44

3.90

5.80

1 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Ukraine : U19 League

Prediction

Goals

LNZ Cherkasy U19 Karpaty Lviv U19 23/09/2026 09:00

–

2 60% –

Un3.5

–

Dynamo Kyiv U19 Metalist 1925 U19 23/09/2026 10:00

–

1 75% –

Ov3.5

–

Livyi Bereh U19 Rukh Vynnyky U19 23/09/2026 10:00

–

1 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 Veres Rivne U19 23/09/2026 10:00

–

1 55% –

Ov2.5

–

Lviv U19 Oleksandria U19 23/09/2026 10:00

–

2 55% –

Ov2.5

–

Zhytomyr U19 Kolos Kovalivka U19 23/09/2026 11:00

–

1 60% –

Un3.5

–

SK Metalurh U19 Obolon' Kyiv U19 23/09/2026 12:00

–

1 55% –

Ov2.5

–

India : IFA Shield

Prediction

Goals

ATK Mohun Bagan Sreenidi Deccan 23/09/2026 09:30

–

1 70% –

Un1.5

–

🏆 World : UEFA Europa Cup Women

Prediction

Goals

Metalist 1925 W Torreense W 23/09/2026 10:00

–

2 65% –

Ov3.5

–

PAOK W Spartak Myjava W 23/09/2026 13:00

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

Slovan Liberec W Rosenborg W 23/09/2026 15:00

–

2 55% –

Ov2.5

–

HJK W Brann W 23/09/2026 15:30

5.75

4.20

1.40

2 70% –

Un1.5

–

Breidablik W Czarni Sosnowiec W 23/09/2026 16:00

–

X 95% –

Ov3.5

–

Brøndby W Sporting CP W 23/09/2026 16:00

2.30

3.50

2.55

X 80% –

Ov3.5

–

FH W Eintracht Frankfurt W 23/09/2026 16:00

–

X 95% –

Ov1.5

–

Minsk W Fenerbahce W 23/09/2026 16:00

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

Sparta Praha W Farul Constanţa W 23/09/2026 16:00

1.12

7.00

17.00

1 80% –

Un1.5

–

St. Pölten W Malmö FF W 23/09/2026 16:45

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

Feyenoord W Vålerenga W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

2 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Hammarby W Rangers W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

PSVEindhoven W Fortuna Hjørring W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

X 95% –

Un2.5

–

VfL Wolfsburg W Sturm Graz W 23/09/2026 17:00

1.06

12.00

23.00

1 85% –

Ov3.5

–

Ajax W Aktobe W 23/09/2026 17:30

1.07

8.50

19.00

1 75% –

Un1.5

–

Hearts W Real Sociedad W 23/09/2026 18:00

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

🏆 Africa : COSAFA U20 Championship

Prediction

Goals

Lesotho U20 Angola U20 23/09/2026 10:00

71.00

17.00

1.02

2 80% –

Ov3.5

–

South Africa U20 Eswatini U20 23/09/2026 10:00

–

1 65% –

Ov3.5

–

Malawi U20 Comoros U20 23/09/2026 13:00

–

1 65% –

Un2.5

–

Zambia U20 Botswana U20 23/09/2026 13:00

–

1 85% –

Un2.5

–

Russia : Youth Championship

Prediction

Goals

Rubin Kazan U20 Krasnodar U19 23/09/2026 12:00

6.80

5.25

1.28

2 70% –

Ov3.5

–

🏆 Europe : UEFA U17 Championship Qualification

Prediction

Goals

Bosnia-Herzegovina U17 Greece U17 23/09/2026 12:00

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

Iceland U17 Gibraltar U17 23/09/2026 12:00

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

Bhutan : Premier League

Prediction

Goals

Thimphu City Transport United 23/09/2026 12:00

–

1 70% –

Un3.5

–

Israel : Liga Alef

Prediction

Goals

Tzeirey Tamra Hapoel Beit Shean 23/09/2026 12:30

–

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Hapoel Azor Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 23/09/2026 14:00

2.00

3.30

3.20

1 55% –

Un2.5

–

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Ironi Nesher 23/09/2026 15:00

–

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Hapoel Marmorek Shimshon Tel Aviv 23/09/2026 16:00

6.00

3.50

1.50

2 80% –

Un2.5

–

Ironi Beit Shemesh Nordia Jerusalem 23/09/2026 16:00

1.65

3.90

4.00

1 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Tira Hapoel Bnei Musmus 23/09/2026 17:00

1.55

3.80

4.75

1 80% –

Un2.5

–

Beitar Nahariya Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 23/09/2026 17:00

–

1 70% –

Ov1.5

–

Dimona Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 23/09/2026 17:10

1.85

3.25

3.70

1 75% –

Un2.5

–

Hapoel Herzliya Tzeirey Tira 23/09/2026 17:15

–

1 65% –

Ov2.5

–

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon Hapoel Sderot 23/09/2026 17:15

–

2 60% –

Un2.5

–

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 23/09/2026 17:20

4.75

3.80

1.57

2 85% –

Ov3.5

–

Ironi Baka El Garbiya Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 23/09/2026 17:45

2.05

3.50

2.90

1 55% –

Ov2.5

–

🏆 World : Friendlies

Prediction

Goals

Japan U18 Ukraine U18 23/09/2026 13:00

–

X 95% –

Ov1.5

–

Finland U17 France U17 23/09/2026 14:00

–

2 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Azerbaijan Tajikistan 23/09/2026 16:00

1.75

3.40

4.20

1 80% –

Ov2.5

–

Gibraltar Sao Tome and Principe 23/09/2026 16:00

1.25

5.00

11.00

1 70% –

Ov3.5

–

France U21 Austria U18 23/09/2026 17:00

–

X 95% –

Ov1.5

–

England U17 Republic of Ireland U17 23/09/2026 17:30

–

X 95% –

Un2.5

–

🏆 World : World Cup U20 Women

Prediction

Goals

Italy U20 W Spain U20 W 23/09/2026 13:00

–

2 70% –

Un3.5

–

Korea DPR U20 W Colombia U20 W 23/09/2026 16:30

1.08

8.50

29.00

1 80% –

Un2.5

–

Slovakia : Cup

Prediction

Goals

Levoča Liptovský Mikuláš 23/09/2026 13:30

17.00

8.00

1.11

2 80% –

Un3.5

–

Angola : Girabola

Prediction

Goals

Sagrada Esperança Kabuscorp 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 55% –

Un2.5

–

Bulgaria : Third League Southeast

Prediction

Goals

Neftochimic Burgas Lokomotiv Plovdiv II 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 65% –

Ov3.5

–

Romania : Liga III Serie 4

Prediction

Goals

FC Oţelul II Gloria Băneasa 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 60% –

Ov2.5

–

Agigea Unirea Braniştea 23/09/2026 14:00

2.15

3.60

2.62

1 55% –

Un3.5

–

Agricola Borcea Recolta Gheorghe Doja 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Dunarea Calarasi Sporting Lieşti 23/09/2026 14:00

–

2 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Înainte Modelu Portul Constanta 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 65% –

Ov3.5

–

Progresul Fundulea Axiopolis 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Romania : Liga III Serie 1

Prediction

Goals

Bradul Putna Paşcani 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 65% –

Ov3.5

–

FC Bacău II Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 80% –

Un3.5

–

CSM FC Vaslui Târgu Secuiesc 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 65% –

Ov3.5

–

Odorheiu Secuiesc Aerostar Bacau 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 60% –

Un2.5

–

Gheorgheni Viitorul Onesti 23/09/2026 14:00

–

2 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Bosnia : 1st League RS

Prediction

Goals

Drina Zvornik Rudar Prijedor 23/09/2026 14:00

1.42

4.20

5.75

1 85% –

Un3.5

–

Leotar Famos Vojkovići 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 70% –

Ov2.5

–

FK Majevica Lopare Laktaši 23/09/2026 14:00

3.80

3.50

1.80

2 75% –

Un3.5

–

Velež Nevesinje Zvijezda 09 23/09/2026 14:00

–

2 60% –

Un3.5

–

Slavija Kozara Gradiška 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 60% –

Un2.5

–

FK Romanija Pale Potkozarje 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 55% –

Un3.5

–

Sutjeska Foča Omarska 23/09/2026 17:00

–

2 60% –

Un2.5

–

Romania : Liga III Serie 2

Prediction

Goals

Săcele Valenii de Munte 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 55% –

Ov2.5

–

Kids Tâmpa Braşov Olimpic Zărneşti 23/09/2026 14:00

–

2 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Inter Sibiu Sepsi II 23/09/2026 15:00

–

2 60% –

Ov2.5

–

Romania : Liga III Serie 3

Prediction

Goals

Râmnicu Sărat Voința Crevedia 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 60% –

Ov2.5

–

Urban Titu Viitorul Corbeanca 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 55% –

Ov2.5

–

Romania : Liga III Serie 5

Prediction

Goals

Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu Progresul Spartac 23/09/2026 14:00

–

2 55% –

Un3.5

–

Omega Sport Progresul Mogosoaia 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 60% –

Un2.5

–

Romania : Liga III Serie 6

Prediction

Goals

CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin Vulturii Fărcăşeşti 23/09/2026 14:00

1.67

4.00

3.80

1 70% –

Un3.5

–

Petrolul Hartiesti Unirea Bascov 23/09/2026 14:00

2.40

3.60

2.35

2 60% –

Un3.5

–

Romania : Liga III Serie 7

Prediction

Goals

Nera Bogodinţi Metalurgistul Cugir 23/09/2026 14:00

–

2 65% –

Ov2.5

–

Viitorul Arad Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 23/09/2026 14:00

–

2 55% –

Ov2.5

–

Romania : Liga III Serie 8

Prediction

Goals

Academica Recea Transilvania Sport Academy 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Bihorul Beiuş Sighetu Marmaţiei 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 55% –

Un2.5

–

SCM Zalău Unirea Tășnad 23/09/2026 14:00

–

1 75% –

Un2.5

–

Unirea Dej Viitorul Cluj 23/09/2026 14:00

–

2 60% –

Un3.5

–

Czech-Republic : Cup

Prediction

Goals

Kladno Baník Ostrava 23/09/2026 14:00

4.80

4.00

1.44

2 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Czech-Republic : 4. Liga Divizie B

Prediction

Goals

Ostrov Brandýs nad Labem 23/09/2026 14:30

–

2 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Meteor Praha Baník Sokolov 23/09/2026 14:30

–

2 60% –

Un3.5

–

Czech-Republic : 4. Liga Divizie C

Prediction

Goals

Vykan Slavia Hradec Králové 23/09/2026 14:30

–

1 60% –

Ov3.5

–

🏆 Asia : Gulf Cup Of Nations

Prediction

Goals

Iraq Oman 23/09/2026 14:30

1.95

3.00

3.70

1 75% –

Un1.5

–

Saudi Arabia Kuwait 23/09/2026 18:00

1.30

4.80

8.00

1 70% –

Un1.5

–

United-Arab-Emirates : Presidents Cup

Prediction

Goals

Al Arabi Emirates Club 23/09/2026 14:40

–

2 55% –

Un1.5

–

Al Bataeh Palm City 23/09/2026 14:40

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

Al Jazira Al Hamra Forte Virtus 23/09/2026 14:40

3.30

3.20

1.95

2 75% –

Un1.5

–

Gulf United Al Fujairah SC 23/09/2026 14:40

–

2 80% –

Un1.5

–

Ghana : Premier League

Prediction

Goals

Dreams Medeama 23/09/2026 15:00

–

2 60% –

Ov3.5

–

Slovenia : 3. SNL East

Prediction

Goals

Videm Hajdina 23/09/2026 15:00

–

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Nigeria : NPFL

Prediction

Goals

Barau FC Abia Warriors 23/09/2026 15:00

1.62

3.30

5.25

1 75% –

Un2.5

–

Bendel Insurance Ikorodu City 23/09/2026 15:00

–

1 55% –

Un3.5

–

Doma United Plateau United 23/09/2026 15:00

–

2 55% –

Un2.5

–

Enyimba Sporting Lagos 23/09/2026 15:00

1.91

3.10

3.90

1 70% –

Un2.5

–

Inter Lagos Kano Pillars 23/09/2026 15:00

1.60

3.25

5.50

1 80% –

Un3.5

–

Kwara United Nasarawa United 23/09/2026 15:00

–

1 70% –

Un2.5

–

Niger Tornadoes Warri Wolves 23/09/2026 15:00

–

1 60% –

Un2.5

–

Enugu Rangers Ranchers Bees 23/09/2026 15:00

1.40

3.90

7.00

1 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Rivers United Kun Khalifat FC 23/09/2026 15:00

1.17

6.00

15.00

1 70% –

Ov2.5

–

Shooting Stars Katsina United 23/09/2026 15:00

1.36

4.10

8.00

1 70% –

Ov2.5

–

Macedonia : First League

Prediction

Goals

Bregalnica Štip Skopje 23/09/2026 16:00

1.45

4.00

5.25

1 75% –

Ov2.5

–

USA : USL Championship

Prediction

Goals

Birmingham Legion Brooklyn 23/09/2026 16:00

1.73

3.75

3.80

1 75% –

Un3.5

–

Sweden : Svenska Cupen Women

Prediction

Goals

Sandviken W Umeå W 23/09/2026 16:00

–

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Värnamo W Kristianstad W 23/09/2026 16:00

–

X 95% –

Ov3.5

–

Alingsås W Elfsborg W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

1 60% –

Ov3.5

–

Älvsjö AIK W Djurgården W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

X 95% –

Ov3.5

–

Enskede W Brommapojkarna W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

X 95% –

Ov3.5

–

Eskilsminne W Rosengård W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

2 85% –

Ov3.5

–

Hu Ge W Uppsala W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

Jitex W Vittsjö W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

2 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Linköping W Norrköping W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

2 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Örebro SK W Eskilstuna United W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

2 85% –

Ov3.5

–

Sunnanå W Piteå W 23/09/2026 17:00

–

X 95% –

Ov3.5

–

Norway : NM Cupen

Prediction

Goals

Grorud Moss 23/09/2026 16:00

3.30

4.20

1.75

2 75% –

Ov3.5

–

🏆 World : Friendlies Clubs

Prediction

Goals

Wiedenbrück VfL Osnabrück 23/09/2026 16:00

–

1 55% –

Ov2.5

–

🏆 Europe : UEFA Champions League Women

Prediction

Goals

OH Leuven W Roma W 23/09/2026 16:45

4.00

3.75

1.62

2 75% –

Ov3.5

–

Servette Chênois W Lyon W 23/09/2026 16:45

–

X 95% –

Ov3.5

–

Barcelona W Paris FC W 23/09/2026 19:00

1.03

13.00

101.00

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

Chelsea W Austria Wien W 23/09/2026 19:00

1.03

17.00

41.00

1 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Germany : Oberliga Rheinland Pfalz Saar

Prediction

Goals

Elversberg II Schott Mainz 23/09/2026 17:30

–

2 70% –

Un3.5

–

Germany : Oberliga Bremen

Prediction

Goals

Oberneuland Hemelingen 23/09/2026 17:30

–

2 85% –

Ov3.5

–

Brazil : Copa Rio

Prediction

Goals

Madureira Sampaio Corrêa RJ 23/09/2026 17:45

2.15

3.10

3.00

2 55% –

Ov1.5

–

Brazil : Pernambucano U20

Prediction

Goals

Atletico PE U20 Santa Cruz U20 23/09/2026 18:00

–

2 85% –

Ov3.5

–

Nautico U20 Guarany U20 23/09/2026 18:00

–

1 80% –

Ov3.5

–

Ibis Sport Club U20 1º de Maio U20 23/09/2026 18:00

–

1 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Spain : Copa Federacion

Prediction

Goals

Saguntino Navalcarnero 23/09/2026 18:00

2.88

2.90

2.30

2 55% –

Ov2.5

–

Brazil : Paraibano 2

Prediction

Goals

São Paulo Crystal Spartax 23/09/2026 18:00

–

2 65% –

Un1.5

–

Auto Esporte Cruzeiro PB 23/09/2026 22:30

–

1 70% –

Un2.5

–

Sport PB Femar 23/09/2026 22:30

–

1 60% –

Ov2.5

–

Argentina : Reserve League

Prediction

Goals

Aldosivi Res. Quilmes 2 23/09/2026 18:00

–

1 60% –

Un2.5

–

Defensa y Justicia Res. Tigre Res. 23/09/2026 18:00

1.67

3.40

4.33

1 75% –

Ov2.5

–

Gimnasia La Plata Res. Estudiantes La Plata Res 23/09/2026 18:00

2.75

2.70

2.50

2 60% –

Un2.5

–

Lanús Res. Banfield Res. 23/09/2026 18:00

1.67

3.60

4.33

1 75% –

Ov2.5

–

Sarmiento Res. Atl. Rafaela 2 23/09/2026 18:00

–

2 60% –

Un2.5

–

Belgrano Córdoba Res. Talleres Córdoba Res. 23/09/2026 22:00

2.80

2.45

1 55% –

Ov2.5

–

England : WSL Cup

Prediction

Goals

Crystal Palace W Watford W 23/09/2026 18:00

1.25

5.00

9.00

1 80% –

Un1.5

–

Everton W Birmingham City W 23/09/2026 18:00

1.85

3.40

3.50

1 75% –

Un1.5

–

Liverpool W Sunderland W 23/09/2026 18:00

1.28

4.75

8.00

1 80% –

Un1.5

–

Manchester United W Sheffield United W 23/09/2026 18:00

1.07

10.00

26.00

1 70% –

Un1.5

–

Nottingham Forest W Aston Villa W 23/09/2026 18:00

3.80

3.40

1.80

2 75% –

Un1.5

–

Tottenham Hotspur W West Ham W 23/09/2026 18:00

1.25

4.80

9.00

1 80% –

Un1.5

–

Leicester City FC W London City Lionesses W 23/09/2026 18:30

9.50

5.00

1.25

2 70% –

Un1.5

–

Brighton W Charlton Athletic W 23/09/2026 18:45

1.25

5.00

10.00

1 70% –

Un1.5

–

England : National League Cup

Prediction

Goals

Boreham Wood Everton U21 23/09/2026 18:00

1.22

5.00

9.00

1 80% –

Ov3.5

–

🏆 World : Premier League International Cup

Prediction

Goals

Middlesbrough U21 Genk U21 23/09/2026 18:00

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

West Ham United U21 Valencia U21 23/09/2026 18:00

–

X 95% –

Un1.5

–

Netherlands : KNVB Beker

Prediction

Goals

Groesbeek Kozakken Boys 23/09/2026 18:00

–

X 95% –

Ov3.5

–

Ijsselmeervogels Gemert 23/09/2026 18:00

1.29

5.00

9.00

1 70% –

Un2.5

–

Sparta Nijkerk UDI '19 23/09/2026 18:00

–

2 60% –

Ov3.5

–

TOGB ROHDA Raalte 23/09/2026 18:00

4.50

5.50

1.40

2 70% –

Ov3.5

–

Zwaluwen Purmersteijn 23/09/2026 18:00

2.20

3.60

2.75

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

JOS Watergraafsmeer TEC 23/09/2026 18:00

–

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Brazil : Paulista U20

Prediction

Goals

Gremio Prudente U20 Juventus U20 23/09/2026 18:00

3.20

3.50

1.91

2 80% –

Ov3.5

–

Scotland : Football League Lowland League

Prediction

Goals

Largs Thistle Johnstone Burgh 23/09/2026 18:15

–

1 55% –

Un3.5

–

Cumnock Juniors Troon FC 23/09/2026 18:45

1.95

3.90

2.88

1 75% –

Ov3.5

–

Renfrew Beith 23/09/2026 18:45

–

1 60% –

Ov3.5

–

Brazil : Goiano 2

Prediction

Goals

Crixás EC Trindade 23/09/2026 18:30

–

1 65% –

Un2.5

–

Grêmio Anápolis Bom Jesus EC 23/09/2026 22:00

4.10

3.25

1.75

2 80% –

Un2.5

–

Goiânia Morrinhos 23/09/2026 22:30

2.05

3.00

3.40

2 55% –

Un2.5

–

Mineiros Tupy FC 23/09/2026 22:30

–

1 55% –

Ov1.5

–

Uruguay : Copa Uruguay

Prediction

Goals

Boston River Fenix 23/09/2026 18:30

2.00

2.90

3.50

1 65% –

Ov2.5

–

Liverpool Montevideo Colón 23/09/2026 18:30

–

1 65% –

Ov2.5

–

Cerro Deportivo Maldonado 23/09/2026 23:00

3.50

2.88

2.00

2 65% –

Ov2.5

–

Wanderers Cerrito 23/09/2026 23:00

1.70

3.20

4.50

1 80% –

Ov2.5

–

Brazil : Paraense A3

Prediction

Goals

ESMAC Pedreira 23/09/2026 18:30

–

2 75% –

Ov3.5

–

Paraense SC Tesla 23/09/2026 18:30

–

1 60% –

Ov1.5

–

Sport Belem CA Vila Rica 23/09/2026 18:30

–

1 80% –

Ov3.5

–

Scotland : Challenge Cup

Prediction

Goals

Hamilton Academical Cowdenbeath 23/09/2026 18:45

1.15

6.00

13.00

1 75% –

Un3.5

–

Spain : Primera División RFEF Group 2

Prediction

Goals

Sant Andreu Real Madrid II 23/09/2026 19:00

3.30

2.88

2.10

2 55% –

Un1.5

–

Paraguay : Copa Paraguay

Prediction

Goals

Club Sp. San Lorenzo 4 de Mayo 23/09/2026 19:00

–

1 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Fernando De La Mora Libertad Asuncion 23/09/2026 21:30

9.00

7.00

1.18

2 70% –

Un2.5

–

🏆 North & Central America : CONCACAF Nations League

Prediction

Goals

Turks and Caicos Islands Montserrat 23/09/2026 19:00

17.00

7.00

1.15

2 75% –

Un1.5

–

Bahamas Saint Martin 23/09/2026 20:00

15.00

7.00

1.15

2 75% –

Un1.5

–

Aruba Antigua and Barbuda 23/09/2026 23:00

2.62

3.30

2.40

2 65% –

Un1.5

–

Peru : Primera División

Prediction

Goals

ADT Cienciano 23/09/2026 20:00

2.90

3.20

2.30

2 55% –

Ov2.5

–

Chile : Copa Chile

Prediction

Goals

Curico Unido Concepción 23/09/2026 21:00

3.10

3.00

2.30

2 55% –

Ov2.5

–

Deportes Iquique Antofagasta 23/09/2026 23:30

2.62

3.00

2.60

2 55% –

Ov2.5

–

Union La Calera U. Catolica 23/09/2026 23:30

3.50

3.10

2.05

2 55% –

Ov3.5

–

Brazil : Copa Santa Catarina

Prediction

Goals

Barra Nação 23/09/2026 22:00

1.33

4.50

7.00

1 80% –

Un3.5

–

Dominican-Republic : Liga Mayor

Prediction

Goals

Moca Delfines Del Este 23/09/2026 22:00

2.15

3.20

3.10

2 55% –

Un1.5

–

Vega Real Jarabacoa 23/09/2026 22:00

–

1 70% –

Un2.5

–

Market Safety Ratings Lower variance options

Banker of the Day Lowest Variance

Single highest-confidence pick. Small odds, model-backed. Best for single bets.

Double Chance Lower Variance

Covers 2 of 3 outcomes in one bet. Significantly reduces variance vs 1X2.

Over 1.5 Goals Lower Variance

A high-frequency goals market with lower variance than many alternatives.

Sure Predictions Higher Confidence

High-confidence 1X2 picks filtered by model score. Good for accas.

Over 2.5 Goals Moderate

3+ goals — better odds than Over 1.5, but more variance.

BTTS Tips Moderate

Both teams score — independent of result, with attractive acca odds.

Frequently Asked Questions

Lower-Risk Football Predictions Today — What It Really Means

When people search for lower-risk football predictions, they are looking for picks that carry the least possible chance of losing — short odds, high confidence, and markets where the statistical probability of success is at its highest. Supatips filters today's fixtures down to those meeting a strict dual criteria: model confidence at 65% or above and predicted odds under 2.20. These represent the lower-variance end of today's prediction pool.

The honest reality: no bet is truly zero risk. Even a 1.10 favourite loses. What we can do is identify picks where the data most strongly supports the outcome, and present those with full transparency.

The Safest Football Markets — Ranked

Not all betting markets carry equal risk. Here is how the main markets compare by variance:

Banker of the Day — highest-confidence single pick. Lowest odds, strongest model backing.
Double Chance — covers two of three outcomes and reduces variance significantly.
Over 1.5 Goals — a high-frequency goals market and one of the safer choices.
Sure Football Predictions — high-confidence 1X2 picks filtered by model score.
Over 2.5 Goals — higher odds than Over 1.5, but more variance.

How to Use These Picks Responsibly

Check today's picks above — each shows confidence %, odds, and a short model rationale.
For the single best pick of the day, go to Banker of the Day.
For reduced variance without needing to predict an exact winner, use Double Chance.
Tap ☆ on any match in the full fixture table to save it to My Selection.
Never stake more than you can afford to lose. If gambling affects you, visit BeGambleAware.org.
All picks are probability estimates. Not guaranteed. 18+ only.