Leon vs Toluca Prediction

Liga MX · Sun 25 Oct 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
Leon logoLeon
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Toluca logoToluca
Kick-offSun 25 Oct, 00:00
Our tip2 @ 2.00 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Our prediction

Toluca to win

@ 2.00
Backup prediction
X2  •  Draw or Toluca
@ 1.30
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 62%Under 2.5: 38%
Expected goals
1.50Leon
3.19Total
1.69Toluca

Win probability

Leon36%
Draw17%
Toluca47%

Odds (1X2)

13.20
X3.25
22.00

Leon vs Toluca preview and result

Leon and Toluca met in the Liga MX on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Leon a 36% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Toluca 47%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.00. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Toluca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 3.2 goals (1.5 for Leon, 1.7 for Toluca). The chance of three or more goals is 62%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

In the table, Leon are 7th with 22 points and Toluca are 5th with 24 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Leon vs Toluca?

Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.00. Win chances: Leon 36%, draw 17%, Toluca 47%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leon vs Toluca?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 62%).

What time is Leon vs Toluca?

Leon vs Toluca (Liga MX) was played on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Leon vs Toluca?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Toluca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Leon7th22 pts
Toluca5th24 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Club America 15852 1529
2 Guadalajara Chivas 15852 1129
3 Cruz Azul 15924 1029
4 Atlas 15834 027
5 Toluca 15663 1024
6 Club Tijuana 15573 422
7 Leon 15645 222
8 Santos Laguna 15717 122
9 Monterrey 14635 521
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15555 -220
11 Club Queretaro 14626 -320
12 CF Pachuca 15546 619
13 Atletico San Luis 15546 -419
14 Puebla 15447 -616
15 Tigres UANL 15366 -715
16 Atlante FC 15357 -814
17 Necaxa 15249 -1210
18 FC Juarez 152211 -228