Millwall vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Sat 31 Oct 2026
England flag England : Championship
Millwall logoMillwall
4 - 1
Full time · HT 3 - 0
Derby logoDerby
Kick-offSat 31 Oct, 16:00
Our tip1 @ 1.67 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
MillwallLDLWL
03 Nov 26ABirmingham0 - 3Championship
31 Oct 26HDerby4 - 1Championship
24 Oct 26APortsmouth1 - 2Championship
17 Oct 26HLincoln2 - 2Championship
13 Oct 26HSwansea0 - 1Championship
Derby

No matches found.

Head to head

Our prediction

Millwall to win

@ 1.67
Backup prediction
1X  •  Millwall or Draw
@ 1.18
Confidence
75%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 56%Under 2.5: 44%
Expected goals
1.75Millwall
2.92Total
1.17Derby

Win probability

Millwall68%
Draw19%
Derby13%

Odds (1X2)

11.67
X3.80
24.80

Millwall vs Derby preview and result

Millwall and Derby met in the Championship on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 1, 3 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Millwall a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Derby 13%. Our pick was Millwall to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.67. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Millwall or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.8 for Millwall, 1.2 for Derby). The chance of three or more goals is 56%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Millwall have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-W-L), scoring 7 and conceding 9. In the table, Millwall are 12th with 18 points and Derby are 23rd with 7 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Millwall vs Derby?

Our pre-match prediction is Millwall to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.67. Win chances: Millwall 68%, draw 19%, Derby 13%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Millwall vs Derby?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 56%).

What time is Millwall vs Derby?

Millwall vs Derby (Championship) was played on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Millwall vs Derby?

The double chance 1X (Millwall or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Championship table

Millwall12th18 pts
Derby23rd7 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Middlesbrough 13841 1328
2 Swansea 13823 726
3 Wolves 13733 724
4 West Brom 13733 524
5 Southampton 13832 1523
6 Birmingham 13652 1023
7 Stoke City 13724 423
8 West Ham 13643 1522
9 QPR 13553 520
10 Sheffield Utd 13544 219
11 Portsmouth 13544 119
12 Millwall 13535 218
13 Blackburn 13535 -118
14 Bristol City 13535 -218
15 Norwich 13508 -115
16 Lincoln 13436 -915
17 Cardiff 13355 -114
18 Wrexham 13355 -414
19 Bolton 13427 -814
20 Charlton 13355 -1014
21 Watford 13328 -1111
22 Burnley 13166 -89
23 Derby 13148 -147
24 Preston 131210 -175