Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

A League · Fri 6 Mar 2026
Australia flag Australia : A League
Adelaide UnitedWWLLL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Wellington PhoenixLWWWD
Kick-offFri 6 Mar, 09:35
Our tip1 @ 1.77 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Adelaide UnitedWWLLL
01 Nov 26APerth Glory0 - 4A-League
29 Oct 26HHome United0 - 2AFC Champions League Two
25 Oct 26ASydney1 - 2A-League
15 Oct 26ABG Pathum United2 - 1AFC Champions League Two
03 Oct 26APerth Glory3 - 1Friendlies Clubs
Wellington PhoenixLWWWD
07 Nov 26AAuckland0 - 0A League
31 Oct 26ANewcastle Jets3 - 0A League
25 Oct 26HCentral Coast Mariners2 - 0A League
18 Oct 26HMelbourne Victory2 - 1A League
24 Apr 26AMacarthur0 - 4A League

Head to head

Full head to head: Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix →

Our prediction

Adelaide United to win

@ 1.77
Double chance
12  •  Adelaide United or Wellington Phoenix
@ 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.48
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Wellington Phoenixlast 14 tipped matches
7/1450%
Our tips in A Leaguelast 30 days
9/2339%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 65%Under 2.5: 35%
Expected goals
2.10Adelaide United
3.37Total
1.27Wellington Phoenix

Possible correct scores

2 – 1 Adelaide United win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00 ✓ Final score
1 – 0 Adelaide United win 7% @ 9.50
2 – 0 Adelaide United win 7% @ 9.50
3 – 1 Adelaide United win 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Adelaide United66%
Draw14%
Wellington Phoenix20%

Odds (1X2)

11.77
X4.20
23.70

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix preview and result

Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix met in the A League on Friday 6 March 2026 at 09:35 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Adelaide United a 66% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Wellington Phoenix 20%. Our pick was Adelaide United to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.77. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Adelaide United or Wellington Phoenix) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 3.4 goals (2.1 for Adelaide United, 1.3 for Wellington Phoenix). The chance of three or more goals is 65%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Adelaide United have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 10. Wellington Phoenix have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-D), scoring 7 and conceding 5. In the table, Adelaide United are 12th with 1 points and Wellington Phoenix are 1st with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?

Our pre-match prediction is Adelaide United to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.77. Win chances: Adelaide United 66%, draw 14%, Wellington Phoenix 20%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 65%).

What time is Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix (A League) was played on Friday 6 March 2026 at 09:35 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?

The double chance 12 (Adelaide United or Wellington Phoenix) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

A League table

Adelaide United12th1 pts
Wellington Phoenix1st10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Wellington Phoenix 4310 610
2 Sydney 4211 37
3 Brisbane Roar 3210 27
4 Melbourne City 4211 07
5 Perth Glory 4202 36
6 Western Sydney Wanderers 4121 25
7 Macarthur 4121 05
8 Auckland 4121 -15
9 Melbourne Victory 4031 -13
10 Newcastle Jets 4022 -42
11 Central Coast Mariners 4022 -52
12 Adelaide United 3012 -51