AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu 16 Apr 2026
Europe : UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FCLLWLL
3 - 1
Full time · HT 2 - 0
Rayo VallecanoDDLWW
Kick-offThu 16 Apr, 20:00
Our tip2 @ 3.20 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AEK Athens FCLLWLL
01 Nov 26APanathinaikos0 - 2Super League 1
28 Oct 26APAOK1 - 3Cup
24 Oct 26HPanetolikos5 - 0Super League 1
20 Oct 26AManchester City1 - 5UEFA Champions League
14 Oct 26AShakhtar Donetsk1 - 3UEFA Champions League
Rayo VallecanoDDLWW
31 Oct 26HCelta Vigo3 - 0La Liga
27 Oct 26ARecreativo Huelva3 - 2Copa del Rey
24 Oct 26HElche0 - 3La Liga
19 Oct 26AGetafe1 - 1La Liga
19 Sep 26AOsasuna1 - 1La Liga

Head to head

AEK Athens FC 1 · Draws 0 · Rayo Vallecano 1 (2 meetings)

16 Apr 26AEK Athens FC3 - 1Rayo VallecanoUEFA Europa Conference League
09 Apr 26Rayo Vallecano3 - 0AEK Athens FCUEFA Europa Conference League

Full head to head: AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano →

Our prediction

Rayo Vallecano to win

@ 3.20
Double chance
12  •  AEK Athens FC or Rayo Vallecano
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.65
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on AEK Athens FClast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips on Rayo Vallecanolast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in UEFA Europa Conference Leaguelast 30 days
32/5459%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 56%Under 2.5: 44%
Expected goals
1.31AEK Athens FC
2.92Total
1.61Rayo Vallecano

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.00
1 – 0 AEK Athens FC win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 AEK Athens FC win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 0 AEK Athens FC win 7% @ 9.00
0 – 1 Rayo Vallecano win 7% @ 9.00
1 – 2 Rayo Vallecano win 7% @ 9.00 Our pick

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

AEK Athens FC40%
Draw17%
Rayo Vallecano43%

Odds (1X2)

12.12
X3.50
23.20

AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano preview and result

AEK Athens FC and Rayo Vallecano met in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 2 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives AEK Athens FC a 40% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Rayo Vallecano 43%. Our pick was Rayo Vallecano to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.20. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (AEK Athens FC or Rayo Vallecano) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.3 for AEK Athens FC, 1.6 for Rayo Vallecano). The chance of three or more goals is 56%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

AEK Athens FC have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 8 and conceding 13. Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-L-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 7. In their last 2 meetings, AEK Athens FC won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano?

Our pre-match prediction is Rayo Vallecano to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.20. Win chances: AEK Athens FC 40%, draw 17%, Rayo Vallecano 43%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 56%).

What time is AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano?

AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano (UEFA Europa Conference League) was played on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for AEK Athens FC vs Rayo Vallecano?

The double chance 12 (AEK Athens FC or Rayo Vallecano) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

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