AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Prediction

1. Division · Sat 16 May 2026
Cyprus flag Cyprus : 1. Division
AEK LarnacaDWWDW
16:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 16 May
PafosDDDDL
Kick-offSat 16 May, 16:00
Our tip1 @ 2.15
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AEK LarnacaDWWDW
06 Nov 26HKarmiotissa4 - 11. Division
31 Oct 26AKrasava Ypsonas2 - 21. Division
26 Oct 26HOmonia Nicosia2 - 01. Division
21 Oct 26HAkritas3 - 2Cup
18 Oct 26AAris1 - 11. Division
PafosDDDDL
05 Nov 26ATwente1 - 3UEFA Europa Conference League
31 Oct 26AApollon Limassol2 - 21. Division
26 Oct 26ANea Salamis0 - 01. Division
22 Oct 26HRiga1 - 1UEFA Europa Conference League
19 Oct 26HApoel Nicosia0 - 01. Division

Head to head

AEK Larnaca 10 · Draws 10 · Pafos 9 (29 meetings, last 10 below)

13 Sep 26AEK Larnaca0 - 1Pafos1. Division
16 May 26AEK Larnaca2 - 2Pafos1. Division
18 Apr 26Pafos1 - 1AEK Larnaca1. Division
25 Jan 26Pafos1 - 2AEK Larnaca1. Division
30 Oct 25Pafos1 - 1AEK LarnacaSuper Cup
05 Oct 25AEK Larnaca2 - 4Pafos1. Division
24 May 25AEK Larnaca0 - 0PafosCup
18 May 25Pafos2 - 0AEK Larnaca1. Division
13 Apr 25AEK Larnaca2 - 2Pafos1. Division
22 Dec 24Pafos0 - 1AEK Larnaca1. Division

Full head to head: AEK Larnaca vs Pafos →

Our prediction

AEK Larnaca to win

@ 2.15
Double chance
12  •  AEK Larnaca or Pafos
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.70
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on AEK Larnacalast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in 1. Divisionlast 30 days
15/2854%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 50%Under 2.5: 50%
Expected goals
1.13AEK Larnaca
2.68Total
1.55Pafos

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.50
1 – 0 AEK Larnaca win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 AEK Larnaca win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Pafos win 8% @ 8.00
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

AEK Larnaca48%
Draw18%
Pafos34%

Odds (1X2)

12.15
X3.20
23.10

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos preview

AEK Larnaca host Pafos in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives AEK Larnaca a 48% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Pafos 34%. That makes our pick AEK Larnaca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.15. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (AEK Larnaca or Pafos) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.1 for AEK Larnaca, 1.6 for Pafos). The chance of three or more goals is 50%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

AEK Larnaca have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-D-W), scoring 12 and conceding 6. Pafos have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 6. In their last 10 meetings, AEK Larnaca won 10, Pafos won 9 and 10 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?

Our prediction is AEK Larnaca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.15. Win chances: AEK Larnaca 48%, draw 18%, Pafos 34%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 50%).

What time is AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for AEK Larnaca vs Pafos?

The double chance 12 (AEK Larnaca or Pafos) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.