AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar Prediction

FKF Premier League · Sat 9 May 2026
Kenya flag Kenya : FKF Premier League
AFC LeopardsDWDDD
1 - 1
45'
Mara SugarWDDLW
Kick-offSat 9 May, 14:15
Our tip2
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AFC LeopardsDWDDD
07 Nov 26A3K0 - 0FKF Premier League
28 Oct 26AMara Sugar0 - 0FKF Premier League
25 Oct 26HShabana0 - 0FKF Premier League
20 Oct 26AKenya Police2 - 1FKF Premier League
14 Oct 26HBandari0 - 0FKF Premier League
Mara SugarWDDLW
07 Nov 26HMigori Youth2 - 1FKF Premier League
02 Nov 26ATusker1 - 3FKF Premier League
28 Oct 26HAFC Leopards0 - 0FKF Premier League
24 Oct 26AUlinzi Stars0 - 0FKF Premier League
19 Oct 26HMombasa Elite2 - 1FKF Premier League

Head to head

AFC Leopards 0 · Draws 1 · Mara Sugar 0 (1 meetings)

28 Oct 26Mara Sugar0 - 0AFC LeopardsFKF Premier League

Full head to head: AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar →

Our prediction

Mara Sugar to win

Double chance
12  •  AFC Leopards or Mara Sugar
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on AFC Leopardslast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Mara Sugarlast 18 tipped matches
11/1861%
Our tips in FKF Premier Leaguelast 30 days
12/3238%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 30%Under 2.5: 70%
Expected goals
0.95AFC Leopards
1.90Total
0.95Mara Sugar

Possible correct scores

0 – 0 Draw 15%
0 – 1 Mara Sugar win 14% Our pick
1 – 0 AFC Leopards win 14%
1 – 1 Draw 13%
0 – 2 Mara Sugar win 7%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

AFC Leopards43%
Draw11%
Mara Sugar46%

AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar preview

AFC Leopards v Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League is under way – the score is 1 - 1 (45').

Our model gives AFC Leopards a 43% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mara Sugar 46%. That makes our pick Mara Sugar to win with 55% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (AFC Leopards or Mara Sugar) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 1.9 goals (1.0 for AFC Leopards, 1.0 for Mara Sugar). The chance of three or more goals is 30%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

AFC Leopards have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-D-D-D), scoring 2 and conceding 1. Mara Sugar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-D-L-W), scoring 5 and conceding 5. In their last 1 meeting, AFC Leopards won 0, Mara Sugar won 0 and 1 ended level. In the table, AFC Leopards are 3rd with 10 points and Mara Sugar are 6th with 9 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar?

Our prediction is Mara Sugar to win (55% confidence). Win chances: AFC Leopards 43%, draw 11%, Mara Sugar 46%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 30%).

What time is AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar?

AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 14:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for AFC Leopards vs Mara Sugar?

The double chance 12 (AFC Leopards or Mara Sugar) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

FKF Premier League table

AFC Leopards3rd10 pts
Mara Sugar6th9 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 GOR Mahia 6411 413
2 KCB 6411 413
3 AFC Leopards 6240 310
4 Kenya Police 6231 19
5 Shabana 6231 19
6 Mara Sugar 6231 09
7 3K 6231 -19
8 Murang'a SEAL 6222 28
9 Bandari 6141 07
10 Posta Rangers FC 6213 -47
11 Tusker 4202 26
12 Migori Youth 5131 16
13 APS Bomet 6132 16
14 Ulinzi Stars 6132 -26
15 Nairobi United 6051 -15
16 Mathare United 6123 -25
17 Homeboyz 5122 -25
18 Mombasa Elite 6015 -71