Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat 19 Sep 2026
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
AjaxLWWWW
2 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
ExcelsiorLLLWL
Kick-offSat 19 Sep, 19:00
Our tip1 @ 1.20 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AjaxLWWWW
31 Oct 26HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Eredivisie
25 Oct 26ASparta Rotterdam2 - 1Eredivisie
22 Oct 26HAtalanta2 - 0UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Oct 26AGroningen5 - 2Eredivisie
15 Oct 26AHNK Hajduk Split1 - 2UEFA Europa Conference League
ExcelsiorLLLWL
01 Nov 26HTwente0 - 9Eredivisie
28 Oct 26AMVV3 - 0KNVB Beker
25 Oct 26AFortuna Sittard0 - 1Eredivisie
16 Oct 26AHeerenveen0 - 4Eredivisie
11 Oct 26HGroningen1 - 5Eredivisie

Head to head

Ajax 5 · Draws 4 · Excelsior 1 (10 meetings)

19 Sep 26Ajax2 - 2ExcelsiorEredivisie
01 Feb 26Excelsior2 - 2AjaxEredivisie
22 Nov 25Ajax1 - 2ExcelsiorEredivisie
24 Apr 24Ajax2 - 2ExcelsiorEredivisie
19 Aug 23Excelsior2 - 2AjaxEredivisie
29 Jan 23Excelsior1 - 4AjaxEredivisie
16 Oct 22Ajax7 - 1ExcelsiorEredivisie
13 Apr 19Ajax6 - 2ExcelsiorEredivisie
11 Nov 18Excelsior1 - 7AjaxEredivisie
06 May 18Excelsior1 - 2AjaxEredivisie

Full head to head: Ajax vs Excelsior →

Our prediction

Ajax to win

@ 1.20
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.55
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Ajaxlast 20 tipped matches
13/2065%
Our tips on Excelsiorlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in Eredivisielast 30 days
18/3847%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 74%Under 2.5: 26%
Expected goals
2.49Ajax
3.83Total
1.34Excelsior

Possible correct scores

2 – 1 Ajax win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
3 – 0 Ajax win 7% @ 9.50
3 – 1 Ajax win 7% @ 9.50
2 – 0 Ajax win 7% @ 10.00
4 – 0 Ajax win 6% @ 12.00

Final score: 2 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Ajax71%
Draw15%
Excelsior14%

Odds (1X2)

11.20
X6.50
210.00

Ajax vs Excelsior preview and result

Ajax and Excelsior met in the Eredivisie on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Ajax a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Excelsior 14%. Our pick was Ajax to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.20. The pick lost this time ✗.

Goals: we expect about 3.8 goals (2.5 for Ajax, 1.3 for Excelsior). The chance of three or more goals is 74%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Ajax have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-W), scoring 11 and conceding 5. Excelsior have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-L), scoring 4 and conceding 19. In their last 10 meetings, Ajax won 5, Excelsior won 1 and 4 ended level. In the table, Ajax are 2nd with 24 points and Excelsior are 15th with 11 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Ajax vs Excelsior?

Our pre-match prediction is Ajax to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.20. Win chances: Ajax 71%, draw 15%, Excelsior 14%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ajax vs Excelsior?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 74%).

What time is Ajax vs Excelsior?

Ajax vs Excelsior (Eredivisie) was played on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Eredivisie table

Ajax2nd24 pts
Excelsior15th11 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Feyenoord 11740 2125
2 Ajax 11731 1724
3 PSV Eindhoven 11722 2223
4 Twente 11722 1823
5 AZ Alkmaar 11623 720
6 Fortuna Sittard 12552 020
7 Heerenveen 11533 618
8 GO Ahead Eagles 12453 -317
9 Groningen 11434 215
10 Cambuur 11434 115
11 Utrecht 11335 -1212
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 -812
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 -1112
14 NEC Nijmegen 11254 -211
15 Excelsior 12327 -1311
16 Telstar 12246 -710
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 -99
18 Willem II 12039 -293