Ajax vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie · Thu 21 May 2026
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
AjaxLWWWW
2 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
GroningenWLDLL
Kick-offThu 21 May, 17:45
Our tip1 @ 1.81 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AjaxLWWWW
31 Oct 26HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Eredivisie
25 Oct 26ASparta Rotterdam2 - 1Eredivisie
22 Oct 26HAtalanta2 - 0UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Oct 26AGroningen5 - 2Eredivisie
15 Oct 26AHNK Hajduk Split1 - 2UEFA Europa Conference League
GroningenWLDLL
01 Nov 26HSparta Rotterdam2 - 3Eredivisie
29 Oct 26HEmmen0 - 2KNVB Beker
25 Oct 26ANEC Nijmegen2 - 2Eredivisie
18 Oct 26HAjax2 - 5Eredivisie
11 Oct 26AExcelsior5 - 1Eredivisie

Head to head

Full head to head: Ajax vs Groningen →

Our prediction

Ajax to win

@ 1.81
Double chance
1X  •  Ajax or Draw
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.53
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips in Eredivisielast 30 days
20/4445%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 55%Under 2.5: 45%
Expected goals
1.54Ajax
2.90Total
1.36Groningen

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Ajax win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 0 Ajax win 8% @ 8.00
2 – 0 Ajax win 7% @ 9.00 ✓ Final score
3 – 1 Ajax win 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 2 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Ajax73%
Draw19%
Groningen8%

Odds (1X2)

11.81
X3.85
23.90

Ajax vs Groningen preview and result

Ajax and Groningen met in the Eredivisie on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 17:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Ajax a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Groningen 8%. Our pick was Ajax to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.81. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Ajax or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.5 for Ajax, 1.4 for Groningen). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Ajax have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-W), scoring 11 and conceding 5. Groningen have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-L), scoring 11 and conceding 13. In the table, Ajax are 3rd with 25 points and Groningen are 9th with 15 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Ajax vs Groningen?

Our pre-match prediction is Ajax to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.81. Win chances: Ajax 73%, draw 19%, Groningen 8%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ajax vs Groningen?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).

What time is Ajax vs Groningen?

Ajax vs Groningen (Eredivisie) was played on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 17:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Ajax vs Groningen?

The double chance 1X (Ajax or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Eredivisie table

Ajax3rd25 pts
Groningen9th15 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12822 2526
2 Feyenoord 12741 1925
3 Ajax 12741 1725
4 Twente 12732 1824
5 AZ Alkmaar 12723 823
6 Heerenveen 12633 821
7 Fortuna Sittard 12552 020
8 GO Ahead Eagles 12453 -317
9 Groningen 12435 115
10 Cambuur 12435 -215
11 NEC Nijmegen 12354 -114
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 -812
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 -1112
14 Utrecht 12336 -1312
15 Excelsior 12327 -1311
16 Telstar 12246 -710
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 -99
18 Willem II 12039 -293