Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat 21 Feb 2026
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
AjaxLWWWW
21:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 21 Feb
NEC Nijmegen
Kick-offSat 21 Feb, 21:00
Our tip1 @ 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AjaxLWWWW
31 Oct 26HAZ Alkmaar1 - 0Eredivisie
25 Oct 26ASparta Rotterdam2 - 1Eredivisie
22 Oct 26HAtalanta2 - 0UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Oct 26AGroningen5 - 2Eredivisie
15 Oct 26AHNK Hajduk Split1 - 2UEFA Europa Conference League
NEC Nijmegen

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen →

Our prediction

Ajax to win

@ 1.78
Double chance
12  •  Ajax or NEC Nijmegen
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.44
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips in Eredivisielast 30 days
20/4445%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 72%Under 2.5: 28%
Expected goals
1.88Ajax
3.76Total
1.88NEC Nijmegen

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 8.25
2 – 1 Ajax win 9% @ 8.75 Our pick
1 – 0 Ajax win 7% @ 11.00
2 – 0 Ajax win 7% @ 11.50
2 – 2 Draw 7% @ 11.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Ajax66%
Draw10%
NEC Nijmegen24%

Odds (1X2)

11.78
X4.10
23.90

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen preview

Ajax host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Ajax a 66% chance of winning, the draw 10% and NEC Nijmegen 24%. That makes our pick Ajax to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.78. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Ajax or NEC Nijmegen) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 3.8 goals (1.9 for Ajax, 1.9 for NEC Nijmegen). The chance of three or more goals is 72%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence).

Form and head to head

Ajax have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-W), scoring 11 and conceding 5. In the table, Ajax are 3rd with 25 points and NEC Nijmegen are 11th with 14 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our prediction is Ajax to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.78. Win chances: Ajax 66%, draw 10%, NEC Nijmegen 24%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 72%).

What time is Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?

The double chance 12 (Ajax or NEC Nijmegen) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Eredivisie table

Ajax3rd25 pts
NEC Nijmegen11th14 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12822 2526
2 Feyenoord 12741 1925
3 Ajax 12741 1725
4 Twente 12732 1824
5 AZ Alkmaar 12723 823
6 Heerenveen 12633 821
7 Fortuna Sittard 12552 020
8 GO Ahead Eagles 12453 -317
9 Groningen 12435 115
10 Cambuur 12435 -215
11 NEC Nijmegen 12354 -114
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 -812
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 -1112
14 Utrecht 12336 -1312
15 Excelsior 12327 -1311
16 Telstar 12246 -710
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 -99
18 Willem II 12039 -293