Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal Prediction

Emir Cup · Fri 1 May 2026
Qatar flag Qatar : Emir Cup
Al-GharafaDDLWL
2 - 1
Full time · HT 2 - 1
UMM Salal
Kick-offFri 1 May, 18:00
Our tip1 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Al-GharafaDDLWL
02 Nov 26HAl-Qadisiyah FC0 - 5AFC Champions League
30 Oct 26HQatar SC2 - 0Stars League
26 Oct 26AAl-Ahli Jeddah1 - 2AFC Champions League
22 Oct 26HAl Ahli Doha2 - 2Stars League
16 Oct 26AAl-Rayyan SC0 - 0Stars League
UMM Salal

No matches found.

Head to head

Al-Gharafa 20 · Draws 8 · UMM Salal 7 (35 meetings, last 10 below)

01 May 26Al-Gharafa2 - 1UMM SalalEmir Cup
06 Jan 26UMM Salal2 - 3Al-GharafaStars League
15 Aug 25Al-Gharafa4 - 2UMM SalalStars League
19 May 25Al-Gharafa4 - 2UMM SalalEmir Cup
07 Mar 25UMM Salal0 - 1Al-GharafaStars League
18 Oct 24Al-Gharafa3 - 1UMM SalalStars League
05 Oct 24UMM Salal5 - 0Al-GharafaQSL Cup
14 May 24UMM Salal2 - 4Al-GharafaEmir Cup
07 Apr 24Al-Gharafa1 - 1UMM SalalStars League
25 Nov 23UMM Salal1 - 2Al-GharafaStars League

Full head to head: Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal →

Our prediction

Al-Gharafa to win

Double chance
12  •  Al-Gharafa or UMM Salal
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Al-Gharafalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 76%Under 2.5: 24%
Expected goals
1.32Al-Gharafa
4.00Total
2.68UMM Salal

Possible correct scores

1 – 2 UMM Salal win 9%
1 – 3 UMM Salal win 8%
0 – 2 UMM Salal win 7%
1 – 1 Draw 6%
0 – 3 UMM Salal win 6%
3 – 0 Al-Gharafa win 1% Our pick

Final score: 2 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Al-Gharafa45%
Draw11%
UMM Salal44%

Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal preview and result

Al-Gharafa and UMM Salal met in the Emir Cup on Friday 1 May 2026 at 18:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 2 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Al-Gharafa a 45% chance of winning, the draw 11% and UMM Salal 44%. Our pick was Al-Gharafa to win with 55% confidence. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Al-Gharafa or UMM Salal) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 4.0 goals (1.3 for Al-Gharafa, 2.7 for UMM Salal). The chance of three or more goals is 76%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Al-Gharafa have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-L-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 9. In their last 10 meetings, Al-Gharafa won 20, UMM Salal won 7 and 8 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal?

Our pre-match prediction is Al-Gharafa to win (55% confidence). Win chances: Al-Gharafa 45%, draw 11%, UMM Salal 44%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 76%).

What time is Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal?

Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal (Emir Cup) was played on Friday 1 May 2026 at 18:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Al-Gharafa vs UMM Salal?

The double chance 12 (Al-Gharafa or UMM Salal) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.