Alaves vs Malaga Prediction

La Liga · Fri 23 Oct 2026
Spain flag Spain : La Liga
Alaves logoAlaves
20:00
Fri 23 Oct, 20:00
Malaga logoMalaga
Kick-offFri 23 Oct, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 1.70
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Alaves

No matches found.

MalagaDLDWL
31 Oct 26AReal Betis1 - 2La Liga
27 Oct 26AAlcazar3 - 0Copa del Rey
23 Oct 26AAlaves1 - 1La Liga
18 Oct 26HReal Sociedad2 - 5La Liga
09 Oct 26HEspanyol1 - 1La Liga

Head to head

Our prediction

Alaves to win

@ 1.70
Backup prediction
1X  •  Alaves or Draw
@ 1.17
Confidence
70%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 48%Under 2.5: 52%
Expected goals
0.98Alaves
2.61Total
1.63Malaga

Win probability

Alaves61%
Draw21%
Malaga18%

Odds (1X2)

11.70
X3.50
25.00

Alaves vs Malaga preview

Alaves host Malaga in the La Liga (Spain) on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Alaves a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malaga 18%. That makes our pick Alaves to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.70. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Alaves or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.17.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.0 for Alaves, 1.6 for Malaga). The chance of three or more goals is 48%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Malaga have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-D-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9. In the table, Alaves are 11th with 12 points and Malaga are 20th with 5 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alaves vs Malaga?

Our prediction is Alaves to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.70. Win chances: Alaves 61%, draw 21%, Malaga 18%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alaves vs Malaga?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 48%).

What time is Alaves vs Malaga?

Alaves vs Malaga (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Alaves vs Malaga?

The double chance 1X (Alaves or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.17. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

La Liga table

Alaves11th12 pts
Malaga20th5 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Barcelona 111001 3430
2 Atletico Madrid 11911 1428
3 Real Madrid 11902 1827
4 Real Betis 11722 323
5 Real Sociedad 11614 019
6 Sevilla 11524 -217
7 Athletic Club 10433 415
8 Deportivo La Coruna 11353 114
9 Villarreal 11335 012
10 Celta Vigo 11263 012
11 Alaves 11335 -212
12 Rayo Vallecano 10334 -512
13 Getafe 11335 -812
14 Espanyol 11326 -111
15 Osasuna 11326 -1111
16 Racing Santander 11326 -1411
17 Elche 11245 -410
18 Levante 11245 -510
19 Valencia 11236 -99
20 Malaga 11056 -135