Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

La Liga · Sat 23 May 2026
Spain flag Spain : La Liga
AlavesDLLDL
20:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 23 May
Rayo VallecanoDDLWW
Kick-offSat 23 May, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 2.32
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AlavesDLLDL
31 Oct 26ABarcelona1 - 6La Liga
23 Oct 26HMalaga1 - 1La Liga
18 Oct 26ACelta Vigo1 - 2La Liga
10 Oct 26HAtletico Madrid1 - 2La Liga
19 Sep 26AAthletic Club0 - 0La Liga
Rayo VallecanoDDLWW
31 Oct 26HCelta Vigo3 - 0La Liga
27 Oct 26ARecreativo Huelva3 - 2Copa del Rey
24 Oct 26HElche0 - 3La Liga
19 Oct 26AGetafe1 - 1La Liga
19 Sep 26AOsasuna1 - 1La Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano →

Our prediction

Alaves to win

@ 2.32
Double chance
12  •  Alaves or Rayo Vallecano
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 2.00
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Alaveslast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Rayo Vallecanolast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in La Ligalast 30 days
23/4156%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 44%Under 2.5: 56%
Expected goals
1.06Alaves
2.42Total
1.36Rayo Vallecano

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Alaves win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
2 – 1 Alaves win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 1 Rayo Vallecano win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Alaves41%
Draw18%
Rayo Vallecano41%

Odds (1X2)

12.32
X3.35
22.95

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano preview

Alaves host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga (Spain) on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Alaves a 41% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rayo Vallecano 41%. That makes our pick Alaves to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.32. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Alaves or Rayo Vallecano) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.1 for Alaves, 1.4 for Rayo Vallecano). The chance of three or more goals is 44%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Alaves have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 11. Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-L-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 7. In the table, Alaves are 12th with 13 points and Rayo Vallecano are 14th with 12 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?

Our prediction is Alaves to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.32. Win chances: Alaves 41%, draw 18%, Rayo Vallecano 41%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 44%).

What time is Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?

The double chance 12 (Alaves or Rayo Vallecano) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

La Liga table

Alaves12th13 pts
Rayo Vallecano14th12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Barcelona 121101 3533
2 Real Madrid 121002 2130
3 Atletico Madrid 12912 1328
4 Real Betis 12822 526
5 Real Sociedad 12714 122
6 Sevilla 12534 -218
7 Athletic Club 11443 416
8 Villarreal 12435 215
9 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 115
10 Racing Santander 12426 -1314
11 Celta Vigo 12273 013
12 Alaves 12345 -213
13 Espanyol 12336 -112
14 Rayo Vallecano 11335 -612
15 Getafe 12336 -1012
16 Osasuna 12336 -1112
17 Levante 12255 -511
18 Elche 12246 -610
19 Valencia 12237 -129
20 Malaga 12057 -145