Almeria vs Burgos Prediction

Segunda División · Sat 3 Oct 2026
Spain flag Spain : Segunda División
AlmeriaWDWDW
2 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
BurgosWWWDW
Kick-offSat 3 Oct, 15:15
Our tip1 @ 1.57 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AlmeriaWDWDW
08 Nov 26AGirona1 - 0Segunda División
31 Oct 26AEibar1 - 1Segunda División
27 Oct 26ACastellonense2 - 1Copa del Rey
24 Oct 26HOviedo2 - 2Segunda División
17 Oct 26AReal Sociedad II4 - 2Segunda División
BurgosWWWDW
07 Nov 26HCelta de Vigo II2 - 1Segunda División
01 Nov 26HCastellón1 - 1Segunda División
29 Oct 26ALaredo4 - 2Copa del Rey
26 Oct 26AFC Andorra3 - 2Segunda División
18 Oct 26HSabadell1 - 0Segunda División

Head to head

Full head to head: Almeria vs Burgos →

Our prediction

Almeria to win

@ 1.57
Double chance
1X  •  Almeria or Draw
@ 1.15
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.83
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Burgoslast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Segunda Divisiónlast 30 days
25/5050%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 42%Under 2.5: 58%
Expected goals
1.18Almeria
2.36Total
1.18Burgos

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Almeria win 11% @ 6.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Almeria win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Almeria win 9% @ 7.50 ✓ Final score
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 10.00

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Almeria63%
Draw22%
Burgos15%

Odds (1X2)

11.57
X3.70
25.00

Almeria vs Burgos preview and result

Almeria and Burgos met in the Segunda División on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Almeria a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burgos 15%. Our pick was Almeria to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.57. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Almeria or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.15.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.2 for Almeria, 1.2 for Burgos). The chance of three or more goals is 42%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Almeria have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Burgos have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-D-W), scoring 11 and conceding 6. In the table, Almeria are 1st with 29 points and Burgos are 3rd with 24 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Almeria vs Burgos?

Our pre-match prediction is Almeria to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.57. Win chances: Almeria 63%, draw 22%, Burgos 15%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Almeria vs Burgos?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 42%).

What time is Almeria vs Burgos?

Almeria vs Burgos (Segunda División) was played on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Almeria vs Burgos?

The double chance 1X (Almeria or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.15. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Segunda División table

Almeria1st29 pts
Burgos3rd24 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Almeria 13922 1429
2 Castellón 12831 1827
3 Burgos 13733 524
4 Eibar 12723 723
5 Granada CF 12723 623
6 Mallorca 12642 822
7 Sporting Gijon 13715 -122
8 Girona 13634 1021
9 Oviedo 13634 321
10 Cordoba 13616 019
11 Valladolid 13535 218
12 Sabadell 12453 117
13 Las Palmas 12525 -417
14 Tenerife 12363 -215
15 Eldense 12426 -414
16 Celta de Vigo II 13346 -613
17 Leganes 13337 -1212
18 FC Andorra 12327 -511
19 Real Sociedad II 12327 -711
20 Cadiz 13247 -210
21 Albacete 13319 -1110
22 AD Ceuta FC 131210 -205