Almeria vs Leganes Prediction

Segunda División · Sun 11 Oct 2026
Spain flag Spain : Segunda División
AlmeriaWDWDW
3 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
LeganesDLLWW
Kick-offSun 11 Oct, 15:15
Our tip1 @ 1.62 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Goals & cards

13'Marvel
M. de la FuenteAssist: S. Dzodic⚽52'
M. de la FuenteAssist: B. Cipenga⚽57'
D. ChirinoAssist: Q. Junyent⚽61'
66'Yassine Kechta
67'Enric Franquesa
Javier Muñoz74'
77'Javi Montero
Nicolás Melamed82'
90'Álex Millán

Match stats

AlmeriaLeganes
64%Possession36%
1.34Expected goals (xG)0.87
18Shots7
8Shots on target1
8Corners3
15Fouls25
1Offsides0
2Yellow cards5
1Saves5
88%Pass accuracy78%
Line-ups
Almeria4-2-3-1
  1. 1A. FernandezG
  2. 22D. ChirinoD
  3. 21ChumiD
  4. 18F. BoniniD
  5. 3A. MunozD
  6. 29S. DzodicM
  7. 14Javier MunozM
  8. 33Q. JunyentM
  9. 11S. ArribasM
  10. 17B. CipengaM
  11. 9ThalysF

Coach: Javier Garcia Pimienta Francisco

Leganes5-3-2
  1. 13L. ZidaneG
  2. 11N. GarciaD
  3. 6G. Aguilar LopezD
  4. 5I. MiquelD
  5. 2MarvelD
  6. 23A. TejeroD
  7. 10Z. BuurmeesterM
  8. 20M. AtienzaM
  9. 14D. RodriguezM
  10. 17I. GharbiF
  11. 21A. MorataF

Coach: Ruben Albes

Referee: G. Romero · Venue: UD Almería Stadium, Almeria

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AlmeriaWDWDW
08 Nov 26AGirona1 - 0Segunda División
31 Oct 26AEibar1 - 1Segunda División
27 Oct 26ACastellonense2 - 1Copa del Rey
24 Oct 26HOviedo2 - 2Segunda División
17 Oct 26AReal Sociedad II4 - 2Segunda División
LeganesDLLWW
13 Nov 26HBurgos3 - 1Segunda División
10 Nov 26ATrival Valderas1 - 0Copa Del Rey
07 Nov 26HAlbacete1 - 3Segunda División
02 Nov 26AValladolid3 - 4Segunda División
24 Oct 26HMallorca1 - 1Segunda División

Head to head

Almeria 4 · Draws 2 · Leganes 2 (8 meetings)

11 Oct 26Almeria3 - 0LeganesSegunda División
05 Apr 26Almeria2 - 1LeganesSegunda División
22 Nov 25Leganes0 - 3AlmeriaSegunda División
15 Jan 25Almeria2 - 3LeganesCopa del Rey
29 May 22Leganes2 - 2AlmeriaSegunda División
29 Oct 21Almeria1 - 0LeganesSegunda División
27 Mar 21Almeria1 - 1LeganesSegunda División
17 Feb 21Leganes2 - 1AlmeriaSegunda División

Full head to head: Almeria vs Leganes →

Our prediction

Almeria to win

@ 1.62
Double chance
1X  •  Almeria or Draw
@ 1.18
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 2.00
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Almerialast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on Leganeslast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Segunda Divisiónlast 30 days
23/4749%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 37%Under 2.5: 63%
Expected goals
1.69Almeria
2.19Total
0.50Leganes

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Almeria win 9% @ 7.50 Our pick
2 – 1 Almeria win 9% @ 7.50
1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.50
2 – 0 Almeria win 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 Almeria win 5% @ 12.00 ✓ Final score

Final score: 3 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Almeria66%
Draw17%
Leganes17%

Odds (1X2)

11.62
X3.80
24.60

Almeria vs Leganes preview and result

Almeria and Leganes met in the Segunda División on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Almeria a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Leganes 17%. Our pick was Almeria to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.62. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Almeria or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 2.2 goals (1.7 for Almeria, 0.5 for Leganes). The chance of three or more goals is 37%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Almeria have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Leganes have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 9. In their last 8 meetings, Almeria won 4, Leganes won 2 and 2 ended level. In the table, Almeria are 1st with 32 points and Leganes are 15th with 15 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Almeria vs Leganes?

Our pre-match prediction is Almeria to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.62. Win chances: Almeria 66%, draw 17%, Leganes 17%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Almeria vs Leganes?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 37%).

What time is Almeria vs Leganes?

Almeria vs Leganes (Segunda División) was played on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Almeria vs Leganes?

The double chance 1X (Almeria or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Segunda División table

Almeria1st32 pts
Leganes15th15 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Almeria 141022 1532
2 Castellón 13931 1930
3 Girona 14734 1124
4 Burgos 14734 324
5 Mallorca 13652 823
6 Eibar 12723 723
7 Granada CF 12723 623
8 Sporting Gijon 14725 -123
9 Oviedo 14635 221
10 Cordoba 14626 020
11 Las Palmas 13625 -220
12 Valladolid 14536 118
13 Sabadell 13463 118
14 Tenerife 12363 -215
15 Leganes 14437 -1015
16 Eldense 13427 -614
17 Celta de Vigo II 13346 -613
18 Real Sociedad II 14347 -713
19 FC Andorra 13328 -611
20 Cadiz 13247 -210
21 Albacete 13319 -1110
22 AD Ceuta FC 131210 -205