Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi Prediction

Premier League · Sun 22 Feb 2026
Ethiopia flag Ethiopia : Premier League
Arba Minch KenemaWWLLL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Negelle ArsiDDWWW
Kick-offSun 22 Feb, 13:00
Our tip2 @ 2.38 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Arba Minch KenemaWWLLL
01 Jul 26ADire Dawa Kenema1 - 2Premier League
26 Jun 26HWelwalo Adigrat Uni0 - 1Premier League
22 Jun 26AFasil Ketema0 - 2Premier League
15 Jun 26HSuhul Shire2 - 0Premier League
28 May 26AMekelakeya2 - 1Premier League
Negelle ArsiDDWWW
30 Oct 26ASheger Ketema2 - 1Premier League
26 Oct 26HAdama Kenema1 - 0Premier League
21 Oct 26AEthiopia Bunna3 - 0Premier League
16 Oct 26AMebrat Hayl0 - 0Premier League
10 Oct 26AKedus Giorgis1 - 1Premier League

Head to head

Full head to head: Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi →

Our prediction

Negelle Arsi to win

@ 2.38
Double chance
12  •  Arba Minch Kenema or Negelle Arsi
@ 1.44
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.44
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Arba Minch Kenemalast 18 tipped matches
8/1844%
Our tips on Negelle Arsilast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Premier Leaguelast 30 days
10/3033%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 25%Under 2.5: 75%
Expected goals
0.86Arba Minch Kenema
1.71Total
0.85Negelle Arsi

Possible correct scores

0 – 0 Draw 15% @ 4.40
0 – 1 Negelle Arsi win 13% @ 5.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50 ✓ Final score
1 – 0 Arba Minch Kenema win 11% @ 6.00
1 – 2 Negelle Arsi win 7% @ 9.50

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Arba Minch Kenema31%
Draw21%
Negelle Arsi48%

Odds (1X2)

13.25
X2.45
22.38

Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi preview and result

Arba Minch Kenema and Negelle Arsi met in the Premier League on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Arba Minch Kenema a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Negelle Arsi 48%. Our pick was Negelle Arsi to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.38. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Arba Minch Kenema or Negelle Arsi) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.44.

Goals: we expect about 1.7 goals (0.9 for Arba Minch Kenema, 0.9 for Negelle Arsi). The chance of three or more goals is 25%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Arba Minch Kenema have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-L), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Negelle Arsi have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-W-W-W), scoring 7 and conceding 2.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Our pre-match prediction is Negelle Arsi to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.38. Win chances: Arba Minch Kenema 31%, draw 21%, Negelle Arsi 48%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 25%).

What time is Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) was played on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

The double chance 12 (Arba Minch Kenema or Negelle Arsi) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.44. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.