Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

UEFA Champions League · Tue 5 May 2026
Europe : UEFA Champions League
ArsenalDWDWW
1 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Atletico MadridWDWWL
Kick-offTue 5 May, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 1.58 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ArsenalDWDWW
04 Nov 26ASlavia Praha2 - 1UEFA Champions League
01 Nov 26ALiverpool1 - 0Premier League
27 Oct 26AFleetwood Town1 - 1League Cup
24 Oct 26HEverton2 - 0Premier League
21 Oct 26ABayern München2 - 2UEFA Champions League
Atletico MadridWDWWL
03 Nov 26HBayern München0 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26ALevante2 - 0La Liga
24 Oct 26HDeportivo La Coruna1 - 0La Liga
20 Oct 26AVfB Stuttgart1 - 1UEFA Champions League
17 Oct 26AEspanyol1 - 0La Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid →

Our prediction

Arsenal to win

@ 1.58
Double chance
1X  •  Arsenal or Draw
@ 1.13
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.80
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips in UEFA Champions Leaguelast 30 days
36/5467%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 67%Under 2.5: 33%
Expected goals
1.06Arsenal
3.43Total
2.37Atletico Madrid

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Arsenal win 11% @ 5.50 ✓ Final score
2 – 0 Arsenal win 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Arsenal win 10% @ 6.50
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
3 – 0 Arsenal win 7% @ 9.50 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Arsenal61%
Draw21%
Atletico Madrid18%

Odds (1X2)

11.58
X3.95
25.40

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid preview and result

Arsenal and Atletico Madrid met in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Arsenal a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atletico Madrid 18%. Our pick was Arsenal to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.58. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Arsenal or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.13.

Goals: we expect about 3.4 goals (1.1 for Arsenal, 2.4 for Atletico Madrid). The chance of three or more goals is 67%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Arsenal have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-D-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Atletico Madrid have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 3. In the table, Arsenal are 3rd with 10 points and Atletico Madrid are 23rd with 4 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?

Our pre-match prediction is Arsenal to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.58. Win chances: Arsenal 61%, draw 21%, Atletico Madrid 18%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 67%).

What time is Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid (UEFA Champions League) was played on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?

The double chance 1X (Arsenal or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.13. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

UEFA Champions League table

Arsenal3rd10 pts
Atletico Madrid23rd4 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 4400 1512
2 Real Madrid 4400 612
3 Arsenal 4310 510
4 Como 4301 139
5 Barcelona 4301 89
6 Aston Villa 4301 69
7 Manchester City 4301 59
8 Liverpool 4301 49
9 Club Brugge KV 4301 49
10 Sporting CP 4301 49
11 Real Betis 4301 29
12 Borussia Dortmund 4301 29
13 Bayern München 4220 78
14 VfB Stuttgart 4211 37
15 Inter 4202 26
16 Lask Linz 4202 16
17 Manchester United 4202 06
18 Galatasaray 4202 -16
19 Fenerbahçe 4121 -55
20 AS Roma 4112 24
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 4112 04
22 Viking 4112 -14
23 Atletico Madrid 4112 -14
24 PSV Eindhoven 4112 -14
25 Bodo/Glimt 4112 -54
26 FC Porto 4103 -13
27 Napoli 4103 -53
28 Villarreal 4103 -63
29 AEK Athens FC 4103 -63
30 RB Leipzig 4103 -63
31 Sabah FA 4103 -63
32 Feyenoord 4103 -73
33 Lens 4103 -123
34 Slavia Praha 4013 -41
35 Lille 4013 -61
36 Slovan Bratislava 4004 -160