AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A · Mon 4 May 2026
Italy flag Italy : Serie A
AS RomaDWWLW
4 - 0
Full time · HT 3 - 0
FiorentinaLLLDW
Kick-offMon 4 May, 19:45
Our tip1 @ 1.57 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AS RomaDWWLW
07 Nov 26HSassuolo3 - 0Serie A
03 Nov 26AManchester United2 - 3UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26AUdinese5 - 2Serie A
27 Oct 26HCagliari4 - 2Serie A
24 Oct 26ANapoli3 - 3Serie A
FiorentinaLLLDW
02 Nov 26ASassuolo4 - 2Serie A
29 Oct 26HAtalanta2 - 2Serie A
25 Oct 26AInter1 - 2Serie A
18 Oct 26HComo1 - 3Serie A
10 Oct 26AGenoa1 - 2Serie A

Head to head

AS Roma 20 · Draws 7 · Fiorentina 9 (36 meetings, last 10 below)

24 Aug 26AS Roma4 - 0FiorentinaSerie A
04 May 26AS Roma4 - 0FiorentinaSerie A
05 Oct 25Fiorentina1 - 2AS RomaSerie A
04 May 25AS Roma1 - 0FiorentinaSerie A
27 Oct 24Fiorentina5 - 1AS RomaSerie A
10 Mar 24Fiorentina2 - 2AS RomaSerie A
10 Dec 23AS Roma1 - 1FiorentinaSerie A
27 May 23Fiorentina2 - 1AS RomaSerie A
15 Jan 23AS Roma2 - 0FiorentinaSerie A
09 May 22Fiorentina2 - 0AS RomaSerie A

Full head to head: AS Roma vs Fiorentina →

Our prediction

AS Roma to win

@ 1.57
Double chance
12  •  AS Roma or Fiorentina
@ 1.20
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.83
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on AS Romalast 20 tipped matches
13/2065%
Our tips on Fiorentinalast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
32/5360%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 42%Under 2.5: 58%
Expected goals
1.62AS Roma
2.35Total
0.73Fiorentina

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 AS Roma win 11% @ 5.75 Our pick
2 – 0 AS Roma win 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 AS Roma win 10% @ 6.50
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
3 – 0 AS Roma win 7% @ 9.50

Final score: 4 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

AS Roma68%
Draw15%
Fiorentina17%

Odds (1X2)

11.57
X3.90
25.60

AS Roma vs Fiorentina preview and result

AS Roma and Fiorentina met in the Serie A on Monday 4 May 2026 at 19:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 0, 3 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives AS Roma a 68% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Fiorentina 17%. Our pick was AS Roma to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.57. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (AS Roma or Fiorentina) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.20.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.6 for AS Roma, 0.7 for Fiorentina). The chance of three or more goals is 42%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

AS Roma have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-L-W), scoring 17 and conceding 10. Fiorentina have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-D-W), scoring 9 and conceding 11. In their last 10 meetings, AS Roma won 20, Fiorentina won 9 and 7 ended level. In the table, AS Roma are 2nd with 27 points and Fiorentina are 15th with 8 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

Our pre-match prediction is AS Roma to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.57. Win chances: AS Roma 68%, draw 15%, Fiorentina 17%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 42%).

What time is AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

AS Roma vs Fiorentina (Serie A) was played on Monday 4 May 2026 at 19:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?

The double chance 12 (AS Roma or Fiorentina) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.20. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

AS Roma2nd27 pts
Fiorentina15th8 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Lazio 10910 1628
2 AS Roma 11830 2127
3 Inter 10811 1325
4 Como 10721 1023
5 AC Milan 10631 921
6 Frosinone 11623 920
7 Juventus 10523 317
8 Bologna 11524 217
9 Cagliari 11515 -516
10 Napoli 10424 414
11 Torino 11425 -214
12 Genoa 10415 -413
13 Atalanta 10325 -411
14 Lecce 11317 -1010
15 Fiorentina 10226 -88
16 Parma 11227 -88
17 Sassuolo 11227 -138
18 Monza 10217 -77
19 Venezia 11209 -136
20 Udinese 11128 -135