Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga · Sat 5 Sep 2026
Spain flag Spain : La Liga
Athletic ClubLWWWD
3 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Atletico MadridWDWWL
Kick-offSat 5 Sep, 15:15
Our tip2 @ 2.30 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence65%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Athletic ClubLWWWD
07 Nov 26AOsasuna1 - 1La Liga
01 Nov 26HReal Sociedad2 - 1La Liga
29 Oct 26APrat6 - 1Copa Del Rey
25 Oct 26HGetafe4 - 0La Liga
21 Oct 26ALevante1 - 3La Liga
Atletico MadridWDWWL
03 Nov 26HBayern München0 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26ALevante2 - 0La Liga
24 Oct 26HDeportivo La Coruna1 - 0La Liga
20 Oct 26AVfB Stuttgart1 - 1UEFA Champions League
17 Oct 26AEspanyol1 - 0La Liga

Head to head

Athletic Club 12 · Draws 4 · Atletico Madrid 20 (36 meetings, last 10 below)

05 Sep 26Athletic Club3 - 0Atletico MadridLa Liga
25 Apr 26Atletico Madrid3 - 2Athletic ClubLa Liga
06 Dec 25Athletic Club1 - 0Atletico MadridLa Liga
01 Mar 25Atletico Madrid1 - 0Athletic ClubLa Liga
31 Aug 24Athletic Club0 - 1Atletico MadridLa Liga
27 Apr 24Atletico Madrid3 - 1Athletic ClubLa Liga
29 Feb 24Athletic Club3 - 0Atletico MadridCopa del Rey
07 Feb 24Atletico Madrid0 - 1Athletic ClubCopa del Rey
16 Dec 23Athletic Club2 - 0Atletico MadridLa Liga
19 Feb 23Atletico Madrid1 - 0Athletic ClubLa Liga

Full head to head: Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid →

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid to win

@ 2.30
Double chance
12  •  Athletic Club or Atletico Madrid
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.67
Confidence
65%

Our record

Our tips on Athletic Clublast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Atletico Madridlast 20 tipped matches
13/2065%
Our tips in La Ligalast 30 days
23/4156%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
0.90Athletic Club
3.00Total
2.10Atletico Madrid

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
0 – 1 Atletico Madrid win 8% @ 8.50
1 – 0 Athletic Club win 7% @ 9.00
1 – 2 Atletico Madrid win 7% @ 9.00 Our pick
2 – 1 Athletic Club win 7% @ 9.50

Final score: 3 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Athletic Club27%
Draw18%
Atletico Madrid55%

Odds (1X2)

13.00
X3.30
22.30

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid preview and result

Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid met in the La Liga on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Athletic Club a 27% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico Madrid 55%. Our pick was Atletico Madrid to win with 65% confidence at odds of 2.30. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Athletic Club or Atletico Madrid) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (0.9 for Athletic Club, 2.1 for Atletico Madrid). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Athletic Club have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-D), scoring 14 and conceding 6. Atletico Madrid have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 3. In their last 10 meetings, Athletic Club won 12, Atletico Madrid won 20 and 4 ended level. In the table, Athletic Club are 7th with 16 points and Atletico Madrid are 3rd with 28 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?

Our pre-match prediction is Atletico Madrid to win (65% confidence) at odds of 2.30. Win chances: Athletic Club 27%, draw 18%, Atletico Madrid 55%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid (La Liga) was played on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?

The double chance 12 (Athletic Club or Atletico Madrid) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

La Liga table

Athletic Club7th16 pts
Atletico Madrid3rd28 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Barcelona 121101 3533
2 Real Madrid 121002 2130
3 Atletico Madrid 12912 1328
4 Real Betis 12822 526
5 Real Sociedad 12714 122
6 Sevilla 12534 -218
7 Athletic Club 11443 416
8 Villarreal 12435 215
9 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 115
10 Racing Santander 12426 -1314
11 Celta Vigo 12273 013
12 Alaves 12345 -213
13 Espanyol 12336 -112
14 Rayo Vallecano 11335 -612
15 Getafe 12336 -1012
16 Osasuna 12336 -1112
17 Levante 12255 -511
18 Elche 12246 -610
19 Valencia 12237 -129
20 Malaga 12057 -145