Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

La Liga · Sun 23 Aug 2026
Spain flag Spain : La Liga
Atletico MadridWDWWL
2 - 2
Full time · HT 0 - 0
VillarrealWWLLW
Kick-offSun 23 Aug, 16:00
Our tip1 @ 1.85 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Atletico MadridWDWWL
03 Nov 26HBayern München0 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26ALevante2 - 0La Liga
24 Oct 26HDeportivo La Coruna1 - 0La Liga
20 Oct 26AVfB Stuttgart1 - 1UEFA Champions League
17 Oct 26AEspanyol1 - 0La Liga
VillarrealWWLLW
08 Nov 26HGetafe2 - 0La Liga
03 Nov 26HParis Saint Germain0 - 6UEFA Champions League
30 Oct 26HEspanyol0 - 1La Liga
27 Oct 26AManacor5 - 0Copa Del Rey
24 Oct 26AValencia2 - 1La Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal →

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid to win

@ 1.85
Double chance
1X  •  Atletico Madrid or Draw
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.75
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Atletico Madridlast 20 tipped matches
13/2065%
Our tips on Villarreallast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in La Ligalast 30 days
23/4156%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.50Atletico Madrid
3.00Total
1.50Villarreal

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
1 – 0 Atletico Madrid win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 0 Atletico Madrid win 8% @ 8.50
2 – 1 Atletico Madrid win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 10.00

Final score: 2 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Atletico Madrid66%
Draw18%
Villarreal16%

Odds (1X2)

11.85
X3.60
24.00

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal preview and result

Atletico Madrid and Villarreal met in the La Liga on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 2, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Atletico Madrid a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Villarreal 16%. Our pick was Atletico Madrid to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.85. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Atletico Madrid or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.5 for Atletico Madrid, 1.5 for Villarreal). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Atletico Madrid have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 3. Villarreal have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-W), scoring 9 and conceding 8. In the table, Atletico Madrid are 3rd with 28 points and Villarreal are 8th with 15 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

Our pre-match prediction is Atletico Madrid to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.85. Win chances: Atletico Madrid 66%, draw 18%, Villarreal 16%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal (La Liga) was played on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal?

The double chance 1X (Atletico Madrid or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

La Liga table

Atletico Madrid3rd28 pts
Villarreal8th15 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Barcelona 121101 3533
2 Real Madrid 121002 2130
3 Atletico Madrid 12912 1328
4 Real Betis 12822 526
5 Real Sociedad 12714 122
6 Sevilla 12534 -218
7 Athletic Club 11443 416
8 Villarreal 12435 215
9 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 115
10 Racing Santander 12426 -1314
11 Celta Vigo 12273 013
12 Alaves 12345 -213
13 Espanyol 12336 -112
14 Rayo Vallecano 11335 -612
15 Getafe 12336 -1012
16 Osasuna 12336 -1112
17 Levante 12255 -511
18 Elche 12246 -610
19 Valencia 12237 -129
20 Malaga 12057 -145