Atletico-MG vs Fluminense Prediction

Serie A · Sat 12 Sep 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
Atletico-MGLLLLD
3 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
FluminenseLWLWW
Kick-offSat 12 Sep, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 2.20 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Atletico-MGLLLLD
07 Nov 26HGremio1 - 1Copa Do Brasil
05 Nov 26ABotafogo0 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26AGremio0 - 2Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HCruzeiro0 - 1Serie A
26 Oct 26AFlamengo2 - 3Serie A
FluminenseLWLWW
06 Nov 26AVitoria3 - 0Serie A
28 Oct 26HInternacional2 - 1Serie A
24 Oct 26AChapecoense-sc1 - 2Serie A
22 Oct 26APalmeiras1 - 0CONMEBOL Libertadores
18 Oct 26HSantos1 - 2Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Atletico-MG vs Fluminense →

Our prediction

Atletico-MG to win

@ 2.20
Double chance
12  •  Atletico-MG or Fluminense
@ 1.36
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Atletico-MGlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips on Fluminenselast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
26/4360%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 49%Under 2.5: 51%
Expected goals
1.08Atletico-MG
2.63Total
1.55Fluminense

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.80
1 – 0 Atletico-MG win 10% @ 6.50
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.50
0 – 1 Fluminense win 8% @ 8.00
2 – 1 Atletico-MG win 7% @ 9.50
3 – 0 Atletico-MG win 3% @ 21.00 Our pick

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Atletico-MG41%
Draw19%
Fluminense40%

Odds (1X2)

12.20
X3.00
23.20

Atletico-MG vs Fluminense preview and result

Atletico-MG and Fluminense met in the Serie A on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Atletico-MG a 41% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fluminense 40%. Our pick was Atletico-MG to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.20. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Atletico-MG or Fluminense) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.36.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.1 for Atletico-MG, 1.6 for Fluminense). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Atletico-MG have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-L-D), scoring 3 and conceding 8. Fluminense have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 5. In the table, Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points and Fluminense are 4th with 57 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?

Our pre-match prediction is Atletico-MG to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.20. Win chances: Atletico-MG 41%, draw 19%, Fluminense 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).

What time is Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?

Atletico-MG vs Fluminense (Serie A) was played on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?

The double chance 12 (Atletico-MG or Fluminense) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.36. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Atletico-MG7th50 pts
Fluminense4th57 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521