Atletico-MG vs Gremio Prediction

Serie A · Sun 16 Aug 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
Atletico-MGLLLLL
3 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
GremioLWWWL
Kick-offSun 16 Aug, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 1.76 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Atletico-MGLLLLL
05 Nov 26ABotafogo0 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26AGremio0 - 2Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HCruzeiro0 - 1Serie A
26 Oct 26AFlamengo2 - 3Serie A
21 Oct 26AAtletico Torque0 - 2CONMEBOL Sudamericana
GremioLWWWL
04 Nov 26AFlamengo1 - 3Serie A
01 Nov 26HAtletico-MG2 - 0Copa Do Brasil
30 Oct 26HAtletico Paranaense2 - 0Serie A
26 Oct 26ACoritiba1 - 0Serie A
18 Oct 26HCruzeiro2 - 4Serie A

Head to head

Atletico-MG 1 · Draws 0 · Gremio 2 (3 meetings)

01 Nov 26Gremio2 - 0Atletico-MGCopa Do Brasil
16 Aug 26Atletico-MG3 - 0GremioSerie A
26 Feb 26Gremio2 - 1Atletico-MGSerie A

Full head to head: Atletico-MG vs Gremio →

Our prediction

Atletico-MG to win

@ 1.76
Double chance
12  •  Atletico-MG or Gremio
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Atletico-MGlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips on Gremiolast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
35/5564%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.08Atletico-MG
2.50Total
1.42Gremio

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Atletico-MG win 12% @ 5.50
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
2 – 1 Atletico-MG win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 0 Atletico-MG win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50
3 – 0 Atletico-MG win 5% @ 12.00 Our pick ✓ Final score

Final score: 3 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Atletico-MG67%
Draw16%
Gremio17%

Odds (1X2)

11.76
X3.55
24.55

Atletico-MG vs Gremio preview and result

Atletico-MG and Gremio met in the Serie A on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Atletico-MG a 67% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Gremio 17%. Our pick was Atletico-MG to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.76. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Atletico-MG or Gremio) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.1 for Atletico-MG, 1.4 for Gremio). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Atletico-MG have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-L-L), scoring 2 and conceding 9. Gremio have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 7. In their last 3 meetings, Atletico-MG won 1, Gremio won 2 and 0 ended level. In the table, Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points and Gremio are 18th with 37 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Our pre-match prediction is Atletico-MG to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.76. Win chances: Atletico-MG 67%, draw 16%, Gremio 17%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

Atletico-MG vs Gremio (Serie A) was played on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Atletico-MG vs Gremio?

The double chance 12 (Atletico-MG or Gremio) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Atletico-MG7th50 pts
Gremio18th37 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 331599 1054
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3310815 -1338
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521