Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A · Thu 19 Mar 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
Atletico-MGLLLLL
1 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Sao PauloWWDLD
Kick-offThu 19 Mar, 00:00
Our tip2 @ 3.25 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Atletico-MGLLLLL
05 Nov 26ABotafogo0 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26AGremio0 - 2Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HCruzeiro0 - 1Serie A
26 Oct 26AFlamengo2 - 3Serie A
21 Oct 26AAtletico Torque0 - 2CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Sao PauloWWDLD
05 Nov 26HCorinthians0 - 0Serie A
29 Oct 26ABahia2 - 3Serie A
24 Oct 26AMirassol1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 0Serie A
11 Oct 26HVitoria2 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo →

Our prediction

Sao Paulo to win

@ 3.25
Double chance
12  •  Atletico-MG or Sao Paulo
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Atletico-MGlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips on Sao Paulolast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
33/5461%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
0.95Atletico-MG
2.50Total
1.55Sao Paulo

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 Atletico-MG win 11% @ 6.00 ✓ Final score
0 – 1 Sao Paulo win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Atletico-MG win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 7.50
0 – 3 Sao Paulo win 2% @ 34.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Atletico-MG35%
Draw19%
Sao Paulo46%

Odds (1X2)

12.28
X3.10
23.25

Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo preview and result

Atletico-MG and Sao Paulo met in the Serie A on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 00:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Atletico-MG a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sao Paulo 46%. Our pick was Sao Paulo to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.25. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Atletico-MG or Sao Paulo) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.0 for Atletico-MG, 1.6 for Sao Paulo). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Atletico-MG have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-L-L), scoring 2 and conceding 9. Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. In the table, Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points and Sao Paulo are 10th with 44 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?

Our pre-match prediction is Sao Paulo to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.25. Win chances: Atletico-MG 35%, draw 19%, Sao Paulo 46%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?

Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) was played on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?

The double chance 12 (Atletico-MG or Sao Paulo) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Atletico-MG7th50 pts
Sao Paulo10th44 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 331599 1054
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3310815 -1338
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521