Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia Prediction

Serie A · Sun 20 Sep 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
Atletico ParanaenseWLDLL
2 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
BahiaLWLDW
Kick-offSun 20 Sep, 23:30
Our tip2 @ 3.30 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Atletico ParanaenseWLDLL
04 Nov 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 3Serie A
30 Oct 26AGremio0 - 2Serie A
24 Oct 26AVitoria1 - 1Serie A
17 Oct 26HPalmeiras0 - 2Serie A
12 Oct 26AChapecoense-sc4 - 1Serie A
BahiaLWLDW
29 Oct 26HSao Paulo3 - 2Serie A
25 Oct 26ASantos1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HFlamengo0 - 3Serie A
11 Oct 26HMirassol1 - 0Serie A
09 Oct 26APalmeiras0 - 1Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia →

Our prediction

Bahia to win

@ 3.30
Double chance
12  •  Atletico Paranaense or Bahia
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.67
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Atletico Paranaenselast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Bahialast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
26/4360%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 51%Under 2.5: 49%
Expected goals
1.25Atletico Paranaense
2.72Total
1.47Bahia

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Atletico Paranaense win 9% @ 7.50
2 – 1 Atletico Paranaense win 8% @ 8.00 ✓ Final score
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.50
2 – 0 Atletico Paranaense win 7% @ 10.00
1 – 2 Bahia win 6% @ 11.00 Our pick

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Atletico Paranaense40%
Draw18%
Bahia42%

Odds (1X2)

12.10
X3.25
23.30

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia preview and result

Atletico Paranaense and Bahia met in the Serie A on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 23:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Atletico Paranaense a 40% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bahia 42%. Our pick was Bahia to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.30. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Atletico Paranaense or Bahia) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.3 for Atletico Paranaense, 1.5 for Bahia). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Atletico Paranaense have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Bahia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 7. In the table, Atletico Paranaense are 5th with 54 points and Bahia are 6th with 53 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?

Our pre-match prediction is Bahia to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.30. Win chances: Atletico Paranaense 40%, draw 18%, Bahia 42%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).

What time is Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?

Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia (Serie A) was played on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 23:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?

The double chance 12 (Atletico Paranaense or Bahia) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Atletico Paranaense5th54 pts
Bahia6th53 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521