AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun 17 May 2026
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
AZ AlkmaarDWLLL
3 - 3
Full time · HT 2 - 0
NAC Breda
Kick-offSun 17 May, 13:30
Our tip1 @ 1.34 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AZ AlkmaarDWLLL
05 Nov 26HJuventus1 - 2UEFA Europa League
31 Oct 26AAjax0 - 1Eredivisie
25 Oct 26HTwente0 - 2Eredivisie
22 Oct 26AArarat-Armenia4 - 0UEFA Europa League
18 Oct 26ACambuur2 - 2Eredivisie
NAC Breda

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda →

Our prediction

AZ Alkmaar to win

@ 1.34
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.57
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on AZ Alkmaarlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in Eredivisielast 30 days
19/4245%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 55%Under 2.5: 45%
Expected goals
2.10AZ Alkmaar
2.88Total
0.78NAC Breda

Possible correct scores

2 – 1 AZ Alkmaar win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 0 AZ Alkmaar win 8% @ 7.50
3 – 1 AZ Alkmaar win 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 AZ Alkmaar win 7% @ 8.50
1 – 0 AZ Alkmaar win 7% @ 9.00

Final score: 3 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

AZ Alkmaar61%
Draw22%
NAC Breda17%

Odds (1X2)

11.34
X5.30
27.40

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda preview and result

AZ Alkmaar and NAC Breda met in the Eredivisie on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 3, 2 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives AZ Alkmaar a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NAC Breda 17%. Our pick was AZ Alkmaar to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.34. The pick lost this time ✗.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (2.1 for AZ Alkmaar, 0.8 for NAC Breda). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 6 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

AZ Alkmaar have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-L-L-L), scoring 7 and conceding 7.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?

Our pre-match prediction is AZ Alkmaar to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.34. Win chances: AZ Alkmaar 61%, draw 22%, NAC Breda 17%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda?

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda (Eredivisie) was played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar6th20 pts
NAC Breda–
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5 Heerenveen 12633 821
6 AZ Alkmaar 11623 720
7 Fortuna Sittard 12552 020
8 GO Ahead Eagles 12453 -317
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10 Cambuur 11434 115
11 Utrecht 11335 -1212
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 -812
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14 NEC Nijmegen 11254 -211
15 Excelsior 12327 -1311
16 Telstar 12246 -710
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 -99
18 Willem II 12039 -293