AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II Prediction

Eredivisie · Fri 11 Sep 2026
Netherlands flag Netherlands : Eredivisie
AZ AlkmaarDWLLL
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Willem II
Kick-offFri 11 Sep, 19:00
Our tip1 @ 1.16 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AZ AlkmaarDWLLL
05 Nov 26HJuventus1 - 2UEFA Europa League
31 Oct 26AAjax0 - 1Eredivisie
25 Oct 26HTwente0 - 2Eredivisie
22 Oct 26AArarat-Armenia4 - 0UEFA Europa League
18 Oct 26ACambuur2 - 2Eredivisie
Willem II

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II →

Our prediction

AZ Alkmaar to win

@ 1.16
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.77
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips in Eredivisielast 30 days
17/3647%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 79%Under 2.5: 21%
Expected goals
3.38AZ Alkmaar
4.22Total
0.84Willem II

Possible correct scores

3 – 0 AZ Alkmaar win 9% @ 6.50
2 – 0 AZ Alkmaar win 9% @ 7.00
3 – 1 AZ Alkmaar win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
4 – 0 AZ Alkmaar win 8% @ 8.00
2 – 1 AZ Alkmaar win 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 1 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

AZ Alkmaar70%
Draw21%
Willem II9%

Odds (1X2)

11.16
X7.30
214.50

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II preview and result

AZ Alkmaar and Willem II met in the Eredivisie on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives AZ Alkmaar a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Willem II 9%. Our pick was AZ Alkmaar to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.16. The pick lost this time ✗.

Goals: we expect about 4.2 goals (3.4 for AZ Alkmaar, 0.8 for Willem II). The chance of three or more goals is 79%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

AZ Alkmaar have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-L-L-L), scoring 7 and conceding 7. In the table, AZ Alkmaar are 5th with 23 points and Willem II are 18th with 3 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II?

Our pre-match prediction is AZ Alkmaar to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.16. Win chances: AZ Alkmaar 70%, draw 21%, Willem II 9%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 79%).

What time is AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II?

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II (Eredivisie) was played on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar5th23 pts
Willem II18th3 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12822 2526
2 Feyenoord 12741 1925
3 Ajax 12741 1725
4 Twente 12732 1824
5 AZ Alkmaar 12723 823
6 Heerenveen 12633 821
7 Fortuna Sittard 12552 020
8 GO Ahead Eagles 12453 -317
9 Groningen 12435 115
10 Cambuur 12435 -215
11 NEC Nijmegen 12354 -114
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 -812
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 -1112
14 Utrecht 12336 -1312
15 Excelsior 12327 -1311
16 Telstar 12246 -710
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 -99
18 Willem II 12039 -293