Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction

UEFA Nations League · Sun 4 Oct 2026
Europe : UEFA Nations League
AzerbaijanWWDDW
1 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
LithuaniaWDWL
Kick-offSun 4 Oct, 14:00
Our tip2 @ 3.10 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
AzerbaijanWWDDW
04 Oct 26HLithuania1 - 0UEFA Nations League
01 Oct 26HLiechtenstein0 - 0UEFA Nations League
27 Sep 26ALithuania1 - 1UEFA Nations League
23 Sep 26HTajikistan1 - 0Friendlies
09 Jun 26HSan Marino2 - 1Friendlies
LithuaniaWDWL
04 Oct 26AAzerbaijan0 - 1UEFA Nations League
30 Sep 26HAndorra3 - 0Friendlies
27 Sep 26HAzerbaijan1 - 1UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 26ALiechtenstein2 - 0UEFA Nations League

Head to head

Full head to head: Azerbaijan vs Lithuania →

Our prediction

Lithuania to win

@ 3.10
Double chance
12  •  Azerbaijan or Lithuania
@ 1.36
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.62
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 19%Under 2.5: 81%
Expected goals
0.38Azerbaijan
1.50Total
1.12Lithuania

Win probability

Azerbaijan38%
Draw19%
Lithuania43%

Odds (1X2)

12.30
X2.90
23.10

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania preview and result

Azerbaijan and Lithuania met in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Azerbaijan a 38% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lithuania 43%. Our pick was Lithuania to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.10. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Azerbaijan or Lithuania) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.36.

Goals: we expect about 1.5 goals (0.4 for Azerbaijan, 1.1 for Lithuania). The chance of three or more goals is 19%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (90% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Azerbaijan have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 2. Lithuania have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches (W-D-W-L), scoring 6 and conceding 2.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?

Our pre-match prediction is Lithuania to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.10. Win chances: Azerbaijan 38%, draw 19%, Lithuania 43%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 19%).

What time is Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania (UEFA Nations League) was played on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Azerbaijan vs Lithuania?

The double chance 12 (Azerbaijan or Lithuania) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.36. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.