Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands Prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · Sun 4 Oct 2026
North & Central America : CONCACAF Nations League
BahamasLLLL
2 - 3
Full time · HT 0 - 2
Kick-offSun 4 Oct, 21:00
Our tip2 @ 1.40 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
BackupX2 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5 ✓
Both scoredYes

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
BahamasLLLL
06 Oct 26ASaint Martin0 - 6CONCACAF Nations League
04 Oct 26HUS Virgin Islands2 - 3CONCACAF Nations League
29 Sep 26AUS Virgin Islands1 - 3CONCACAF Nations League
23 Sep 26HSaint Martin0 - 8CONCACAF Nations League
US Virgin IslandsWLW
04 Oct 26ABahamas3 - 2CONCACAF Nations League
01 Oct 26HSaint Martin0 - 5CONCACAF Nations League
29 Sep 26HBahamas3 - 1CONCACAF Nations League

Head to head

Bahamas 0 · Draws 0 · US Virgin Islands 2 (2 meetings)

04 Oct 26Bahamas2 - 3US Virgin IslandsCONCACAF Nations League
29 Sep 26US Virgin Islands3 - 1BahamasCONCACAF Nations League

Full head to head: Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands →

Our prediction

US Virgin Islands to win

@ 1.40
Backup prediction
X2  •  Draw or US Virgin Islands
@ 1.12
Confidence
80%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 84%Under 2.5: 16%
Expected goals
0.78Bahamas
4.60Total
3.82US Virgin Islands

Win probability

Bahamas12%
Draw17%
US Virgin Islands71%

Odds (1X2)

15.50
X4.80
21.40

Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands preview and result

Bahamas and US Virgin Islands met in the CONCACAF Nations League on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 3, 0 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives Bahamas a 12% chance of winning, the draw 17% and US Virgin Islands 71%. Our pick was US Virgin Islands to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.40. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or US Virgin Islands) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.12.

Goals: we expect about 4.6 goals (0.8 for Bahamas, 3.8 for US Virgin Islands). The chance of three or more goals is 84%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Bahamas have 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 4 matches (L-L-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 20. US Virgin Islands have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches (W-L-W), scoring 6 and conceding 8. In their last 2 meetings, Bahamas won 0, US Virgin Islands won 2 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?

Our pre-match prediction is US Virgin Islands to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.40. Win chances: Bahamas 12%, draw 17%, US Virgin Islands 71%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?

We expect about 4.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 84%).

What time is Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?

Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands (CONCACAF Nations League) was played on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?

The double chance X2 (Draw or US Virgin Islands) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.12. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.