Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction

UEFA Champions League · Tue 17 Feb 2026
Europe : UEFA Champions League
BenficaWWWWW
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Real MadridWWWWW
Kick-offTue 17 Feb, 21:00
Our tip1 @ 3.10 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
BenficaWWWWW
05 Nov 26HLech Poznan3 - 1UEFA Europa League
02 Nov 26HAlverca1 - 0Primeira Liga
29 Oct 26HGIL Vicente4 - 1Taça da Liga
26 Oct 26ASanta Clara2 - 1Primeira Liga
22 Oct 26AOmonia Nicosia4 - 1UEFA Europa League
Real MadridWWWWW
01 Nov 26ARacing Santander3 - 0La Liga
25 Oct 26ABarcelona2 - 1La Liga
21 Oct 26HRB Leipzig4 - 1UEFA Champions League
18 Oct 26HSevilla4 - 1La Liga
14 Oct 26AAS Roma4 - 3UEFA Champions League

Head to head

Full head to head: Benfica vs Real Madrid →

Our prediction

Benfica to win

@ 3.10
Double chance
12  •  Benfica or Real Madrid
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.55
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Benficalast 20 tipped matches
16/2080%
Our tips on Real Madridlast 20 tipped matches
16/2080%
Our tips in UEFA Champions Leaguelast 30 days
36/5467%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.14Benfica
3.00Total
1.86Real Madrid

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
1 – 2 Real Madrid win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 1 Real Madrid win 8% @ 8.00 ✓ Final score
2 – 1 Benfica win 7% @ 9.00 Our pick
1 – 0 Benfica win 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 0 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Benfica42%
Draw17%
Real Madrid41%

Odds (1X2)

13.10
X3.55
22.15

Benfica vs Real Madrid preview and result

Benfica and Real Madrid met in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 21:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Benfica a 42% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Real Madrid 41%. Our pick was Benfica to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.10. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Benfica or Real Madrid) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.1 for Benfica, 1.9 for Real Madrid). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Benfica have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-W-W), scoring 14 and conceding 4. Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-W-W), scoring 17 and conceding 6.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Our pre-match prediction is Benfica to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.10. Win chances: Benfica 42%, draw 17%, Real Madrid 41%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Benfica vs Real Madrid?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Benfica vs Real Madrid?

Benfica vs Real Madrid (UEFA Champions League) was played on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Benfica vs Real Madrid?

The double chance 12 (Benfica or Real Madrid) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

UEFA Champions League table

Benfica–
Real Madrid2nd12 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 4400 1512
2 Real Madrid 4400 612
3 Arsenal 4310 510
4 Como 4301 139
5 Barcelona 4301 89
6 Aston Villa 4301 69
7 Manchester City 4301 59
8 Liverpool 4301 49
9 Club Brugge KV 4301 49
10 Sporting CP 4301 49
11 Real Betis 4301 29
12 Borussia Dortmund 4301 29
13 Bayern München 4220 78
14 VfB Stuttgart 4211 37
15 Inter 4202 26
16 Lask Linz 4202 16
17 Manchester United 4202 06
18 Galatasaray 4202 -16
19 Fenerbahçe 4121 -55
20 AS Roma 4112 24
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 4112 04
22 Viking 4112 -14
23 Atletico Madrid 4112 -14
24 PSV Eindhoven 4112 -14
25 Bodo/Glimt 4112 -54
26 FC Porto 4103 -13
27 Napoli 4103 -53
28 Villarreal 4103 -63
29 AEK Athens FC 4103 -63
30 RB Leipzig 4103 -63
31 Sabah FA 4103 -63
32 Feyenoord 4103 -73
33 Lens 4103 -123
34 Slavia Praha 4013 -41
35 Lille 4013 -61
36 Slovan Bratislava 4004 -160