Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction

Segunda División · Fri 11 Sep 2026
Spain flag Spain : Segunda División
BurgosWWWDW
3 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
AD Ceuta FCLLWLL
Kick-offFri 11 Sep, 19:30
Our tip1 @ 1.65 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
BurgosWWWDW
07 Nov 26HCelta de Vigo II2 - 1Segunda División
01 Nov 26HCastellón1 - 1Segunda División
29 Oct 26ALaredo4 - 2Copa del Rey
26 Oct 26AFC Andorra3 - 2Segunda División
18 Oct 26HSabadell1 - 0Segunda División
AD Ceuta FCLLWLL
07 Nov 26ACordoba0 - 3Segunda División
01 Nov 26HSporting Gijon0 - 2Segunda División
29 Oct 26APoblense2 - 1Copa del Rey
25 Oct 26ACadiz1 - 3Segunda División
18 Oct 26HOviedo1 - 2Segunda División

Head to head

Burgos 1 · Draws 1 · AD Ceuta FC 1 (3 meetings)

11 Sep 26Burgos3 - 1AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
01 Apr 26Burgos1 - 1AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
29 Nov 25AD Ceuta FC1 - 0BurgosSegunda División

Full head to head: Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC →

Our prediction

Burgos to win

@ 1.65
Double chance
1X  •  Burgos or Draw
@ 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Burgoslast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on AD Ceuta FClast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in Segunda Divisiónlast 30 days
23/4749%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 55%Under 2.5: 45%
Expected goals
2.39Burgos
2.88Total
0.49AD Ceuta FC

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Burgos win 10% @ 6.50
1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 0 Burgos win 9% @ 7.50
2 – 1 Burgos win 9% @ 7.50 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 10.00

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Burgos74%
Draw17%
AD Ceuta FC9%

Odds (1X2)

11.65
X3.60
24.75

Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC preview and result

Burgos and AD Ceuta FC met in the Segunda División on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Burgos a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and AD Ceuta FC 9%. Our pick was Burgos to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.65. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Burgos or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (2.4 for Burgos, 0.5 for AD Ceuta FC). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Burgos have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-D-W), scoring 11 and conceding 6. AD Ceuta FC have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 11. In their last 3 meetings, Burgos won 1, AD Ceuta FC won 1 and 1 ended level. In the table, Burgos are 4th with 24 points and AD Ceuta FC are 22nd with 5 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?

Our pre-match prediction is Burgos to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.65. Win chances: Burgos 74%, draw 17%, AD Ceuta FC 9%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).

What time is Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?

Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) was played on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?

The double chance 1X (Burgos or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Segunda División table

Burgos4th24 pts
AD Ceuta FC22nd5 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Almeria 141022 1532
2 Castellón 13931 1930
3 Girona 14734 1124
4 Burgos 14734 324
5 Mallorca 13652 823
6 Eibar 12723 723
7 Granada CF 12723 623
8 Sporting Gijon 14725 -123
9 Oviedo 14635 221
10 Cordoba 14626 020
11 Las Palmas 13625 -220
12 Valladolid 14536 118
13 Sabadell 13463 118
14 Tenerife 12363 -215
15 Leganes 14437 -1015
16 Eldense 13427 -614
17 Celta de Vigo II 13346 -613
18 Real Sociedad II 14347 -713
19 FC Andorra 13328 -611
20 Cadiz 13247 -210
21 Albacete 13319 -1110
22 AD Ceuta FC 131210 -205