CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Thu 5 Mar 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga De Expansión MX
CA La PazDWWWD
3 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Leones Negros UDGWWLWL
Kick-offThu 5 Mar, 04:00
Our tip1 @ 2.28 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
CA La PazDWWWD
08 Nov 26HTlaxcala3 - 3Liga de Expansión MX
05 Nov 26ATlaxcala1 - 0Liga de Expansión MX
31 Oct 26HDorados3 - 0Liga de Expansión MX
25 Oct 26ACDS Tampico Madero3 - 1Liga de Expansión MX
17 Oct 26HTlaxcala2 - 2Liga de Expansión MX
Leones Negros UDGWWLWL
13 Nov 26AMonarcas0 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
08 Nov 26HDurango2 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
06 Nov 26ADurango0 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
01 Nov 26HTepatitlán3 - 1Liga De Expansión MX
25 Oct 26AMineros de Zacatecas2 - 0Liga De Expansión MX

Head to head

CA La Paz 5 · Draws 3 · Leones Negros UDG 3 (11 meetings, last 10 below)

13 Sep 26Leones Negros UDG2 - 2CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
05 Mar 26CA La Paz3 - 0Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
14 Sep 25Leones Negros UDG2 - 3CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
29 Mar 25CA La Paz3 - 1Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
13 Oct 24Leones Negros UDG3 - 0CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
06 May 24Leones Negros UDG3 - 1CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
03 May 24CA La Paz1 - 1Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
28 Mar 24Leones Negros UDG2 - 4CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX
23 Aug 23CA La Paz3 - 0Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX
24 Feb 23Leones Negros UDG3 - 2CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX

Full head to head: CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG →

Our prediction

CA La Paz to win

@ 2.28
Double chance
12  •  CA La Paz or Leones Negros UDG
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.50
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on CA La Pazlast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips on Leones Negros UDGlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Liga De Expansión MXlast 30 days
15/3345%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 59%Under 2.5: 41%
Expected goals
2.04CA La Paz
3.05Total
1.01Leones Negros UDG

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 CA La Paz win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
1 – 2 Leones Negros UDG win 7% @ 8.50
1 – 0 CA La Paz win 7% @ 9.00
0 – 0 Draw 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 3 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

CA La Paz49%
Draw17%
Leones Negros UDG34%

Odds (1X2)

12.28
X3.65
22.80

CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG preview and result

CA La Paz and Leones Negros UDG met in the Liga De Expansión MX on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 04:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives CA La Paz a 49% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Leones Negros UDG 34%. Our pick was CA La Paz to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.28. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (CA La Paz or Leones Negros UDG) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (2.0 for CA La Paz, 1.0 for Leones Negros UDG). The chance of three or more goals is 59%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

CA La Paz have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-D), scoring 12 and conceding 6. Leones Negros UDG have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-L), scoring 7 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, CA La Paz won 5, Leones Negros UDG won 3 and 3 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG?

Our pre-match prediction is CA La Paz to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.28. Win chances: CA La Paz 49%, draw 17%, Leones Negros UDG 34%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 59%).

What time is CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG?

CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG (Liga De Expansión MX) was played on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 04:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG?

The double chance 12 (CA La Paz or Leones Negros UDG) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.