Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town Prediction

FAW Championship · Sat 21 Feb 2026
Wales flag Wales : FAW Championship
Caerau (Ely)
3 - 4
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Carmarthen TownDLLLL
Kick-offSat 21 Feb, 15:00
Our tip1 @ 1.80 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✗
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Caerau (Ely)

No matches found.

Carmarthen TownDLLLL
07 Nov 26HAberystwyth Town0 - 4FAW Championship
31 Oct 26APontardawe Town1 - 2FAW Championship
23 Oct 26HCaerphilly Athletic1 - 3FAW Championship
17 Oct 26HNewport City4 - 5Welsh Cup
10 Oct 26ACardiff Draconians2 - 2FAW Championship

Head to head

Full head to head: Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town →

Our prediction

Caerau (Ely) to win

@ 1.80
Double chance
1X  •  Caerau (Ely) or Draw
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.62
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Carmarthen Townlast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in FAW Championshiplast 30 days
25/5843%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.69Caerau (Ely)
2.52Total
0.83Carmarthen Town

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Caerau (Ely) win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
1 – 0 Caerau (Ely) win 8% @ 8.00
2 – 0 Caerau (Ely) win 7% @ 9.00
1 – 2 Carmarthen Town win 6% @ 11.00

Final score: 3 – 4 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Caerau (Ely)74%
Draw20%
Carmarthen Town6%

Odds (1X2)

11.80
X3.30
23.60

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town preview and result

Caerau (Ely) and Carmarthen Town met in the FAW Championship on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 4, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Caerau (Ely) a 74% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Carmarthen Town 6%. Our pick was Caerau (Ely) to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.80. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Caerau (Ely) or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.7 for Caerau (Ely), 0.8 for Carmarthen Town). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 7 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Carmarthen Town have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-L-L), scoring 8 and conceding 16.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?

Our pre-match prediction is Caerau (Ely) to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.80. Win chances: Caerau (Ely) 74%, draw 20%, Carmarthen Town 6%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town (FAW Championship) was played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?

The double chance 1X (Caerau (Ely) or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.