Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Prediction

Premier League · Fri 7 Aug 2026
Wales flag Wales : Premier League
Caernarfon TownWWWLL
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 2
PenybontLWWWW
Kick-offFri 7 Aug, 19:45
Our tip1 @ 1.85 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Caernarfon TownWWWLL
06 Nov 26APenybont0 - 2Premier League
30 Oct 26AAirbus UK2 - 3Premier League
23 Oct 26HBriton Ferry3 - 1Premier League
17 Oct 26AFlint Town United3 - 1Welsh Cup
09 Oct 26AHaverfordwest County AFC2 - 1Premier League
PenybontLWWWW
06 Nov 26HCaernarfon Town2 - 0Premier League
31 Oct 26ACardiff MET5 - 0Premier League
18 Oct 26AAfan Lido3 - 2Welsh Cup
09 Oct 26HBarry Town3 - 1Premier League
03 Oct 26AGAP Connah S Quay FC0 - 1Premier League

Head to head

Caernarfon Town 7 · Draws 6 · Penybont 13 (26 meetings, last 10 below)

06 Nov 26Penybont2 - 0Caernarfon TownPremier League
07 Aug 26Caernarfon Town1 - 2PenybontPremier League
18 Apr 26Caernarfon Town2 - 0PenybontPremier League
24 Jan 26Penybont0 - 0Caernarfon TownPremier League
25 Oct 25Penybont0 - 2Caernarfon TownPremier League
20 Sep 25Caernarfon Town1 - 2PenybontPremier League
13 Apr 25Penybont3 - 1Caernarfon TownPremier League
22 Feb 25Caernarfon Town3 - 2PenybontPremier League
02 Nov 24Caernarfon Town1 - 5PenybontPremier League
07 Sep 24Penybont2 - 0Caernarfon TownPremier League

Full head to head: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont →

Our prediction

Caernarfon Town to win

@ 1.85
Double chance
1X  •  Caernarfon Town or Draw
@ 1.20
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 2.05
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Caernarfon Townlast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on Penybontlast 20 tipped matches
15/2075%
Our tips in Premier Leaguelast 30 days
17/2471%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 19%Under 2.5: 81%
Expected goals
1.50Caernarfon Town
1.50Total
0.00Penybont

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Caernarfon Town win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
2 – 1 Caernarfon Town win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 0 Caernarfon Town win 8% @ 8.00
0 – 0 Draw 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 1 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Caernarfon Town74%
Draw18%
Penybont8%

Odds (1X2)

11.85
X3.50
23.55

Caernarfon Town vs Penybont preview and result

Caernarfon Town and Penybont met in the Premier League on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives Caernarfon Town a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Penybont 8%. Our pick was Caernarfon Town to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.85. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Caernarfon Town or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.20.

Goals: we expect about 1.5 goals (1.5 for Caernarfon Town, 0.0 for Penybont). The chance of three or more goals is 19%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (90% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Caernarfon Town have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-L-L), scoring 10 and conceding 8. Penybont have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-W), scoring 13 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, Caernarfon Town won 7, Penybont won 13 and 6 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?

Our pre-match prediction is Caernarfon Town to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.85. Win chances: Caernarfon Town 74%, draw 18%, Penybont 8%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 19%).

What time is Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?

Caernarfon Town vs Penybont (Premier League) was played on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Caernarfon Town vs Penybont?

The double chance 1X (Caernarfon Town or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.20. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.