Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City Prediction

FAW Championship · Fri 9 Oct 2026
Wales flag Wales : FAW Championship
3 - 2
Full time · HT 2 - 0
Newport CityLWDWD
Kick-offFri 9 Oct, 19:45
Our tip2 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence65%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Caerphilly Athletic

No matches found.

Newport CityLWDWD
06 Nov 26HTreowen Stars2 - 2FAW Championship
31 Oct 26ALlantwit Major3 - 2FAW Championship
23 Oct 26HPontypridd Town4 - 4FAW Championship
17 Oct 26ACarmarthen Town5 - 4Welsh Cup
09 Oct 26ACaerphilly Athletic2 - 3FAW Championship

Head to head

Full head to head: Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City →

Our prediction

Newport City to win

Double chance
12  •  Caerphilly Athletic or Newport City
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
65%

Our record

Our tips on Newport Citylast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in FAW Championshiplast 30 days
22/4252%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 49%Under 2.5: 51%
Expected goals
1.53Caerphilly Athletic
2.63Total
1.10Newport City

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12%
1 – 0 Caerphilly Athletic win 11%
2 – 1 Caerphilly Athletic win 9%
2 – 0 Caerphilly Athletic win 8%
0 – 1 Newport City win 8%
0 – 3 Newport City win 2% Our pick

Final score: 3 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Caerphilly Athletic31%
Draw11%
Newport City58%

Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City preview and result

Caerphilly Athletic and Newport City met in the FAW Championship on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 2, 2 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Caerphilly Athletic a 31% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Newport City 58%. Our pick was Newport City to win with 65% confidence. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Caerphilly Athletic or Newport City) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.5 for Caerphilly Athletic, 1.1 for Newport City). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Newport City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-D-W-D), scoring 16 and conceding 15.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City?

Our pre-match prediction is Newport City to win (65% confidence). Win chances: Caerphilly Athletic 31%, draw 11%, Newport City 58%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).

What time is Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City?

Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City (FAW Championship) was played on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City?

The double chance 12 (Caerphilly Athletic or Newport City) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.