Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 3 May 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Primeira Liga
Casa PiaWLWWL
0 - 0
33'
TondelaWDLWD
Kick-offSun 3 May, 15:30
Our tip1 @ 2.28
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Casa PiaWLWWL
30 Oct 26HSporting CP0 - 2Primeira Liga
24 Oct 26AEstrela2 - 0Primeira Liga
18 Oct 26AAlpendorada1 - 0Taça de Portugal
10 Oct 26HSanta Clara0 - 1Primeira Liga
20 Sep 26AEstoril2 - 1Primeira Liga
TondelaWDLWD
08 Nov 26ASporting CP B1 - 1Segunda Liga
01 Nov 26HFelgueiras 19323 - 2Segunda Liga
25 Oct 26AAVS1 - 2Segunda Liga
18 Oct 26HAlverca0 - 0Taça De Portugal
10 Oct 26HTorreense1 - 0Segunda Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Casa Pia vs Tondela →

Our prediction

Casa Pia to win

@ 2.28
Double chance
12  •  Casa Pia or Tondela
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Tondelalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Primeira Ligalast 30 days
17/2763%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 47%Under 2.5: 53%
Expected goals
1.10Casa Pia
2.56Total
1.46Tondela

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 Casa Pia win 11% @ 6.00
0 – 1 Tondela win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Casa Pia win 9% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 Casa Pia win 3% @ 19.00 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Casa Pia47%
Draw18%
Tondela35%

Odds (1X2)

12.28
X3.15
23.15

Casa Pia vs Tondela preview

Casa Pia v Tondela in the Primeira Liga is under way – the score is 0 - 0 (33').

Our model gives Casa Pia a 47% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tondela 35%. That makes our pick Casa Pia to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.28. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Casa Pia or Tondela) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.1 for Casa Pia, 1.5 for Tondela). The chance of three or more goals is 47%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Casa Pia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 4. Tondela have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-L-W-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Casa Pia vs Tondela?

Our prediction is Casa Pia to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.28. Win chances: Casa Pia 47%, draw 18%, Tondela 35%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Casa Pia vs Tondela?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 47%).

What time is Casa Pia vs Tondela?

Casa Pia vs Tondela (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Casa Pia vs Tondela?

The double chance 12 (Casa Pia or Tondela) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Primeira Liga table

Casa Pia16th8 pts
Tondela–
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 FC Porto 111100 2233
2 Benfica 11911 2028
3 Sporting CP 11731 1324
4 Santa Clara 11632 821
5 Arouca 11623 520
6 Academico Viseu 11623 220
7 GIL Vicente 11533 218
8 SC Braga 11524 217
9 Moreirense 11425 -514
10 Famalicao 11344 113
11 Alverca 11335 -112
12 Estrela 11245 -510
13 Nacional 11317 -810
14 Vitória SC 11236 -19
15 Maritimo 10226 -128
16 Casa Pia 11227 -148
17 Rio Ave 11218 -157
18 Estoril 10028 -142