CF Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction

Liga MX · Mon 11 May 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
CF PachucaDLLWW
2 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
TolucaDDDDW
Kick-offMon 11 May, 00:00
Our tip2 @ 2.10 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
CF PachucaDLLWW
31 Oct 26HTigres UANL3 - 0Liga MX
26 Oct 26AClub America2 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26HCruz Azul1 - 2Liga MX
19 Oct 26AMonterrey1 - 2Liga MX
11 Oct 26HNecaxa3 - 3Liga MX
TolucaDDDDW
08 Nov 26HMonterrey4 - 0Liga MX
01 Nov 26AClub America2 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26ALeon1 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26HClub Tijuana2 - 2Liga MX
18 Oct 26HAtletico San Luis1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Full head to head: CF Pachuca vs Toluca →

Our prediction

Toluca to win

@ 2.10
Double chance
12  •  CF Pachuca or Toluca
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.55
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on CF Pachucalast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips on Tolucalast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 52%Under 2.5: 48%
Expected goals
1.37CF Pachuca
2.74Total
1.37Toluca

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
1 – 2 Toluca win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
0 – 1 Toluca win 8% @ 8.00
2 – 1 CF Pachuca win 7% @ 9.00
1 – 0 CF Pachuca win 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 2 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

CF Pachuca40%
Draw17%
Toluca43%

Odds (1X2)

13.15
X3.60
22.10

CF Pachuca vs Toluca preview and result

CF Pachuca and Toluca met in the Liga MX on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives CF Pachuca a 40% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Toluca 43%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.10. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (CF Pachuca or Toluca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.4 for CF Pachuca, 1.4 for Toluca). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

CF Pachuca have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 8. Toluca have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6. In the table, CF Pachuca are 8th with 22 points and Toluca are 4th with 27 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for CF Pachuca vs Toluca?

Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.10. Win chances: CF Pachuca 40%, draw 17%, Toluca 43%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in CF Pachuca vs Toluca?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).

What time is CF Pachuca vs Toluca?

CF Pachuca vs Toluca (Liga MX) was played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for CF Pachuca vs Toluca?

The double chance 12 (CF Pachuca or Toluca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

CF Pachuca8th22 pts
Toluca4th27 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111