Mexico : Liga MX
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CF PachucaDLLWW
TolucaDDDDWHead to head
Our prediction
Toluca to win
@ 2.10Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Final score: 2 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
CF Pachuca vs Toluca preview and result
CF Pachuca and Toluca met in the Liga MX on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.
Our model gives CF Pachuca a 40% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Toluca 43%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.10. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (CF Pachuca or Toluca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.
Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.4 for CF Pachuca, 1.4 for Toluca). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.
Form and head to head
CF Pachuca have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 8. Toluca have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6. In the table, CF Pachuca are 8th with 22 points and Toluca are 4th with 27 points.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for CF Pachuca vs Toluca?
Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.10. Win chances: CF Pachuca 40%, draw 17%, Toluca 43%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in CF Pachuca vs Toluca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).
What time is CF Pachuca vs Toluca?
CF Pachuca vs Toluca (Liga MX) was played on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for CF Pachuca vs Toluca?
The double chance 12 (CF Pachuca or Toluca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca |
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas |
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna |
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon |
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana |
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey |
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro |
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla |
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis |
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL |
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC |
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa |
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez |
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -21 | 11 |
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Cruz Azul
Club America
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
Atlas
Santos Laguna
Leon
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club Queretaro
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
Tigres UANL
Atlante FC
Necaxa
FC Juarez