Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol' Prediction

Cup · Wed 18 Mar 2026
Ukraine flag Ukraine : Cup
ChernihivWWLLW
0 - 0
0'
Kick-offWed 18 Mar, 10:00
Our tip2
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ChernihivWWLLW
01 Nov 26HYarud Mariupol'3 - 1Persha Liga
29 Oct 26HEpitsentr Dunayivtsi1 - 2Cup
17 Oct 26AViktoriya Mykolaivka1 - 2Persha Liga
11 Oct 26APrykarpattia1 - 0Persha Liga
06 Oct 26ATrostianets4 - 2Cup
Yarud Mariupol'

No matches found.

Head to head

Chernihiv 1 · Draws 0 · Yarud Mariupol' 1 (2 meetings)

01 Nov 26Chernihiv3 - 1Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga
21 Mar 26Chernihiv1 - 4Yarud Mariupol'Persha Liga

Full head to head: Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol' →

Our prediction

Yarud Mariupol' to win

Double chance
12  •  Chernihiv or Yarud Mariupol'
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Chernihivlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in Cuplast 30 days
4/850%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 48%Under 2.5: 52%
Expected goals
0.86Chernihiv
2.60Total
1.74Yarud Mariupol'

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Yarud Mariupol' win 13%
0 – 2 Yarud Mariupol' win 11%
1 – 1 Draw 11%
1 – 2 Yarud Mariupol' win 10%
0 – 0 Draw 7%
0 – 3 Yarud Mariupol' win 7% Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Chernihiv40%
Draw11%
Yarud Mariupol'49%

Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol' preview

Chernihiv v Yarud Mariupol' in the Cup is under way – the score is 0 - 0 (0').

Our model gives Chernihiv a 40% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Yarud Mariupol' 49%. That makes our pick Yarud Mariupol' to win with 55% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Chernihiv or Yarud Mariupol') covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (0.9 for Chernihiv, 1.7 for Yarud Mariupol'). The chance of three or more goals is 48%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Chernihiv have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-L-W), scoring 10 and conceding 7. In their last 2 meetings, Chernihiv won 1, Yarud Mariupol' won 1 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?

Our prediction is Yarud Mariupol' to win (55% confidence). Win chances: Chernihiv 40%, draw 11%, Yarud Mariupol' 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 48%).

What time is Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?

Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol' (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 10:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Chernihiv vs Yarud Mariupol'?

The double chance 12 (Chernihiv or Yarud Mariupol') covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.