Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sun 20 Sep 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
Club NacionalWWLWW
3 - 2
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Defensor SportingLLLDW
Kick-offSun 20 Sep, 20:30
Our tip1 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Club NacionalWWLWW
05 Nov 26AFerro Carril2 - 1Copa Uruguay
01 Nov 26ADanubio2 - 1Primera División Apertura
25 Oct 26HLiverpool Montevideo0 - 1Primera División Apertura
19 Oct 26HDeportivo Maldonado3 - 2Primera División Apertura
15 Oct 26HRentistas3 - 0Copa Uruguay
Defensor SportingLLLDW
01 Nov 26AProgreso2 - 0Primera División Apertura
23 Oct 26HRacing Montevideo3 - 3Primera División Apertura
17 Oct 26ABoston River0 - 1Primera División Apertura
10 Oct 26HCerro2 - 3Primera División Apertura
03 Oct 26AAlbion FC2 - 3Primera División Apertura

Head to head

Club Nacional 12 · Draws 11 · Defensor Sporting 8 (31 meetings, last 10 below)

20 Sep 26Club Nacional3 - 2Defensor SportingPrimera División Apertura
21 Mar 26Defensor Sporting2 - 1Club NacionalPrimera División Apertura
09 Nov 25Defensor Sporting1 - 1Club NacionalPrimera División - Clausura
18 May 25Club Nacional2 - 1Defensor SportingPrimera División - Apertura
06 Dec 24Club Nacional2 - 2Defensor SportingCopa Uruguay
21 Sep 24Club Nacional1 - 1Defensor SportingPrimera División - Clausura
10 Mar 24Defensor Sporting3 - 3Club NacionalPrimera División - Apertura
04 Dec 23Club Nacional1 - 0Defensor SportingPrimera División - Clausura
07 May 23Defensor Sporting2 - 2Club NacionalPrimera División - Apertura
08 Oct 22Club Nacional1 - 1Defensor SportingPrimera División - Clausura

Full head to head: Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting →

Our prediction

Club Nacional to win

Double chance
12  •  Club Nacional or Defensor Sporting
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on Club Nacionallast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips on Defensor Sportinglast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
13/2846%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 40%Under 2.5: 60%
Expected goals
1.29Club Nacional
2.30Total
1.01Defensor Sporting

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13%
1 – 0 Club Nacional win 13% Our pick
0 – 1 Defensor Sporting win 10%
0 – 0 Draw 10%
2 – 1 Club Nacional win 8%

Final score: 3 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Club Nacional51%
Draw11%
Defensor Sporting38%

Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting preview and result

Club Nacional and Defensor Sporting met in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 2, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Club Nacional a 51% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Defensor Sporting 38%. Our pick was Club Nacional to win with 60% confidence. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Club Nacional or Defensor Sporting) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (1.3 for Club Nacional, 1.0 for Defensor Sporting). The chance of three or more goals is 40%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Club Nacional have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 5. Defensor Sporting have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-D-W), scoring 9 and conceding 10. In their last 10 meetings, Club Nacional won 12, Defensor Sporting won 8 and 11 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting?

Our pre-match prediction is Club Nacional to win (60% confidence). Win chances: Club Nacional 51%, draw 11%, Defensor Sporting 38%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 40%).

What time is Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting?

Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting (Primera División Apertura) was played on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting?

The double chance 12 (Club Nacional or Defensor Sporting) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.