Mexico : Liga MX
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Cruz AzulWWWWW
TolucaDDDDWHead to head
Cruz Azul 10 · Draws 10 · Toluca 6 (26 meetings, last 10 below)
Our prediction
Toluca to win
@ 2.55Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Final score: 3 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Cruz Azul vs Toluca preview and result
Cruz Azul and Toluca met in the Liga MX on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 23:50 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 3, 2 - 0 at half time.
Our model gives Cruz Azul a 39% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Toluca 44%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.55. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Cruz Azul or Toluca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.
Goals: we expect about 3.3 goals (1.2 for Cruz Azul, 2.1 for Toluca). The chance of three or more goals is 65%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 6 goals were scored.
Form and head to head
Cruz Azul have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-W-W), scoring 15 and conceding 5. Toluca have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6. In their last 10 meetings, Cruz Azul won 10, Toluca won 6 and 10 ended level. In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st with 32 points and Toluca are 4th with 27 points.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.55. Win chances: Cruz Azul 39%, draw 17%, Toluca 44%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 65%).
What time is Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Cruz Azul vs Toluca (Liga MX) was played on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 23:50 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
The double chance 12 (Cruz Azul or Toluca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cruz Azul |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 32 |
| 2 |  Club America |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 |  Toluca |
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 27 |
| 5 |  Atlas |
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 27 |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna |
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 |  Leon |
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 |  CF Pachuca |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana |
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Monterrey |
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Club Queretaro |
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 |  Puebla |
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis |
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL |
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC |
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |  Necaxa |
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez |
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -21 | 11 |
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