D. La Serena vs Concepción Prediction

Primera División · Sat 24 Oct 2026
Chile flag Chile : Primera División
D. La Serena
3 - 1
Full time · HT 2 - 1
ConcepciónLDLWW
Kick-offSat 24 Oct, 16:30
Our tip1 @ 2.25 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Goals & cards

5'Y. Rodríguez
Matías Marín⚽15'
Francis Mac Allister20'
21'⚽Jorge Henríquez
Jeisson Vargas21'
Matías MarínAssist: Rafael Delgado⚽37'
39'Ariel Cáceres
41'Y. Rodríguez
Matías Marín42'
45+2'Fausto Grillo
Diego Rubio57'
Jeisson Vargas (pen)⚽84'

Match stats

D. La SerenaConcepción
66%Possession34%
2.76Expected goals (xG)0.18
17Shots4
8Shots on target1
11Corners3
21Fouls15
1Offsides0
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
0Saves5
Line-ups
D. La Serena3-4-1-2
  1. 31J. TapiaG
  2. 34I. RassoD
  3. 5L. AlarcónD
  4. 33R. DelgadoD
  5. 23M. MarínM
  6. 4F. Mac AllisterM
  7. 8G. EscalanteM
  8. 17Y. SalazarM
  9. 10J. VargasM
  10. 11D. RubioF
  11. 2G. FigueroaF

Coach: Felipe Gutiérrez

Concepción4-3-3
  1. 25N. ArayaG
  2. 4A. CáceresD
  3. 21N. RodríguezD
  4. 37F. GrilloD
  5. 29D. VarasD
  6. 18Y. RodríguezM
  7. 20J. HenríquezM
  8. 16M. SandovalM
  9. 19A. JaraF
  10. 32J. LarriveyF
  11. 30E. EspinozaF

Coach: Fernando Díaz

Referee: Mathias Riquelme · Venue: La Portada, La Serena

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
D. La Serena

No matches found.

ConcepciónLDLWW
08 Nov 26AEverton de Vina2 - 0Primera División
02 Nov 26HPalestino1 - 0Primera División
24 Oct 26AD. La Serena1 - 3Primera División
11 Oct 26HUnion La Calera1 - 1Primera División
04 Oct 26AO'Higgins0 - 2Copa Chile

Head to head

Full head to head: D. La Serena vs Concepción →

Our prediction

D. La Serena to win

@ 2.25
Double chance
12  •  D. La Serena or Concepción
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.70
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Concepciónlast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Primera Divisiónlast 30 days
13/2552%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 51%Under 2.5: 49%
Expected goals
1.82D. La Serena
2.71Total
0.89Concepción

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
1 – 0 D. La Serena win 8% @ 8.00
2 – 1 D. La Serena win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick
0 – 1 Concepción win 8% @ 8.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.50

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

D. La Serena43%
Draw18%
Concepción39%

Odds (1X2)

12.25
X3.10
22.88

D. La Serena vs Concepción preview and result

D. La Serena and Concepción met in the Primera División on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 2 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives D. La Serena a 43% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Concepción 39%. Our pick was D. La Serena to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.25. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (D. La Serena or Concepción) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.8 for D. La Serena, 0.9 for Concepción). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Concepción have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-W-W), scoring 5 and conceding 6.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for D. La Serena vs Concepción?

Our pre-match prediction is D. La Serena to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.25. Win chances: D. La Serena 43%, draw 18%, Concepción 39%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in D. La Serena vs Concepción?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).

What time is D. La Serena vs Concepción?

D. La Serena vs Concepción (Primera División) was played on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for D. La Serena vs Concepción?

The double chance 12 (D. La Serena or Concepción) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.