Danubio vs Progreso Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 30 May 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
Danubio
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Progreso
Kick-offSat 30 May, 19:00
Our tip1 @ 1.95 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Danubio vs Progreso →

Our prediction

Danubio to win

@ 1.95
Double chance
12  •  Danubio or Progreso
@ 1.36
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.75
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
13/3043%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 45%Under 2.5: 55%
Expected goals
1.66Danubio
2.48Total
0.82Progreso

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Danubio win 11% @ 6.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.50
2 – 1 Danubio win 8% @ 8.00
2 – 0 Danubio win 8% @ 8.50

Final score: 1 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Danubio67%
Draw15%
Progreso18%

Odds (1X2)

11.95
X3.10
23.80

Danubio vs Progreso preview and result

Danubio and Progreso met in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Danubio a 67% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Progreso 18%. Our pick was Danubio to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.95. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Danubio or Progreso) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.36.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.7 for Danubio, 0.8 for Progreso). The chance of three or more goals is 45%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Danubio vs Progreso?

Our pre-match prediction is Danubio to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.95. Win chances: Danubio 67%, draw 15%, Progreso 18%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Danubio vs Progreso?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 45%).

What time is Danubio vs Progreso?

Danubio vs Progreso (Primera División Apertura) was played on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Danubio vs Progreso?

The double chance 12 (Danubio or Progreso) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.36. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.