Defensor Sporting vs Progreso Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Mon 27 Apr 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
1 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Progreso
Kick-offMon 27 Apr, 23:30
Our tip1 @ 1.88 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Defensor Sporting vs Progreso →

Our prediction

Defensor Sporting to win

@ 1.88
Double chance
1X  •  Defensor Sporting or Draw
@ 1.17
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.65
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
13/3043%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 32%Under 2.5: 68%
Expected goals
0.80Defensor Sporting
2.00Total
1.20Progreso

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Defensor Sporting win 14% @ 4.75 Our pick ✓ Final score
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
2 – 0 Defensor Sporting win 10% @ 6.50
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Defensor Sporting win 9% @ 7.50

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Defensor Sporting70%
Draw23%
Progreso7%

Odds (1X2)

11.88
X3.20
24.10

Defensor Sporting vs Progreso preview and result

Defensor Sporting and Progreso met in the Primera División Apertura on Monday 27 April 2026 at 23:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Defensor Sporting a 70% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Progreso 7%. Our pick was Defensor Sporting to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.88. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Defensor Sporting or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.17.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (0.8 for Defensor Sporting, 1.2 for Progreso). The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?

Our pre-match prediction is Defensor Sporting to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.88. Win chances: Defensor Sporting 70%, draw 23%, Progreso 7%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).

What time is Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?

Defensor Sporting vs Progreso (Primera División Apertura) was played on Monday 27 April 2026 at 23:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?

The double chance 1X (Defensor Sporting or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.17. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.