England : Championship
Recent form
DerbyLLDLL
BirminghamWWLWWHead to head
Derby 0 · Draws 0 · Birmingham 1 (1 meetings)
Our prediction
Derby to win
@ 2.68Goals outlook
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Derby vs Birmingham preview
Derby v Birmingham in the Championship is under way – the score is 1 - 0 (Half time).
Our model gives Derby a 45% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Birmingham 37%. That makes our pick Derby to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.68. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Derby or Birmingham) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.
Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.9 for Derby, 0.7 for Birmingham). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).
Form and head to head
Derby have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 12. Birmingham have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-W), scoring 13 and conceding 2. In their last 1 meeting, Derby won 0, Birmingham won 1 and 0 ended level. In the table, Derby are 23rd with 7 points and Birmingham are 3rd with 26 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Derby vs Birmingham?
Our prediction is Derby to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.68. Win chances: Derby 45%, draw 18%, Birmingham 37%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derby vs Birmingham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).
What time is Derby vs Birmingham?
Derby vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 13:30 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Derby vs Birmingham?
The double chance 12 (Derby or Birmingham) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough |
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolves |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Birmingham |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Stoke City |
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Swansea |
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | West Brom |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton |
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham |
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd |
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth |
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 11 | QPR |
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich |
14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall |
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn |
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City |
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham |
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 | Bolton |
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Cardiff |
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln |
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford |
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton |
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 | Burnley |
14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby |
14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston |
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
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Wolves
Birmingham
Swansea
West Brom
West Ham
Bristol City
Bolton
Cardiff
Lincoln
Burnley
Derby