Derby vs Blackburn Prediction

Championship · Sat 28 Feb 2026
England flag England : Championship
DerbyLLDLL
3 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
BlackburnWDWLL
Kick-offSat 28 Feb, 13:30
Our tip1 @ 2.14 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
DerbyLLDLL
03 Nov 26HNorwich0 - 4Championship
31 Oct 26AMillwall1 - 4Championship
24 Oct 26ASheffield Utd1 - 1Championship
17 Oct 26HStoke City0 - 1Championship
14 Oct 26AQPR1 - 4Championship
BlackburnWDWLL
03 Nov 26HStoke City1 - 2Championship
31 Oct 26ASwansea0 - 4Championship
13 Oct 26ABristol City1 - 0Championship
19 Sep 26APortsmouth2 - 2Championship
12 Sep 26HMillwall3 - 1Championship

Head to head

Derby 1 · Draws 0 · Blackburn 0 (1 meetings)

28 Feb 26Derby3 - 1BlackburnChampionship

Full head to head: Derby vs Blackburn →

Our prediction

Derby to win

@ 2.14
Double chance
12  •  Derby or Blackburn
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.85
Confidence
55%

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 45%Under 2.5: 55%
Expected goals
1.55Derby
2.49Total
0.94Blackburn

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Derby win 11% @ 5.75 Our pick
2 – 1 Derby win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 1 Blackburn win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our top 5. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Derby42%
Draw18%
Blackburn40%

Odds (1X2)

12.14
X3.20
23.45

Derby vs Blackburn preview and result

Derby and Blackburn met in the Championship on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Derby a 42% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Blackburn 40%. Our pick was Derby to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.14. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Derby or Blackburn) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.6 for Derby, 0.9 for Blackburn). The chance of three or more goals is 45%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Derby have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 14. Blackburn have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-L-L), scoring 7 and conceding 9. In their last 1 meeting, Derby won 1, Blackburn won 0 and 0 ended level. In the table, Derby are 23rd with 7 points and Blackburn are 14th with 18 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Derby vs Blackburn?

Our pre-match prediction is Derby to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.14. Win chances: Derby 42%, draw 18%, Blackburn 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derby vs Blackburn?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 45%).

What time is Derby vs Blackburn?

Derby vs Blackburn (Championship) was played on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Derby vs Blackburn?

The double chance 12 (Derby or Blackburn) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Championship table

Derby23rd7 pts
Blackburn14th18 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Middlesbrough 14842 1128
2 Wolves 14833 827
3 Birmingham 14752 1326
4 Stoke City 14824 526
5 Swansea 14824 526
6 West Brom 14743 525
7 Southampton 14842 1524
8 West Ham 14653 1523
9 Sheffield Utd 14644 322
10 Portsmouth 14644 322
11 QPR 14563 521
12 Norwich 14608 318
13 Millwall 14536 -118
14 Blackburn 14536 -218
15 Bristol City 14536 -318
16 Wrexham 14455 -217
17 Bolton 14527 -717
18 Cardiff 14365 -115
19 Lincoln 14437 -1015
20 Watford 14428 -1014
21 Charlton 14356 -1114
22 Burnley 14176 -810
23 Derby 14149 -187
24 Preston 141211 -185