Derby vs Wrexham Prediction

Championship · Sat 10 Oct 2026
England flag England : Championship
Derby logoDerby
15:00
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
Wrexham logoWrexham
Kick-offSat 10 Oct, 15:00
Our tip2 @ 2.45
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Our prediction

Wrexham to win

@ 2.45
Backup prediction
X2  •  Draw or Wrexham
@ 1.40
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 49%Under 2.5: 51%
Expected goals
1.05Derby
2.63Total
1.58Wrexham

Win probability

Derby33%
Draw18%
Wrexham49%

Odds (1X2)

12.80
X3.10
22.45

Derby vs Wrexham preview

Derby host Wrexham in the Championship (England) on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Derby a 33% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Wrexham 49%. That makes our pick Wrexham to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.45. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Wrexham) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.40.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.1 for Derby, 1.6 for Wrexham). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

In the table, Derby are 23rd with 7 points and Wrexham are 19th with 14 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Derby vs Wrexham?

Our prediction is Wrexham to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.45. Win chances: Derby 33%, draw 18%, Wrexham 49%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derby vs Wrexham?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).

What time is Derby vs Wrexham?

Derby vs Wrexham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Derby vs Wrexham?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Wrexham) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.40. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Championship table

Derby23rd7 pts
Wrexham19th14 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Middlesbrough 13841 1328
2 Birmingham 14752 1326
3 Stoke City 14824 526
4 Swansea 14824 526
5 West Brom 14743 525
6 Southampton 14842 1524
7 Wolves 13733 724
8 West Ham 13643 1522
9 Sheffield Utd 14644 322
10 Portsmouth 14644 322
11 QPR 14563 521
12 Norwich 14608 318
13 Millwall 14536 -118
14 Blackburn 14536 -218
15 Bristol City 13535 -218
16 Bolton 14527 -717
17 Lincoln 14437 -1015
18 Cardiff 13355 -114
19 Wrexham 13355 -414
20 Watford 14428 -1014
21 Charlton 14356 -1114
22 Burnley 14176 -810
23 Derby 14149 -187
24 Preston 141211 -185