Derio vs Aurrerá Vitoria Prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 4 · Sat 18 Apr 2026
Spain flag Spain : Tercera División RFEF Group 4
DerioDLWWL
16:30
⏳ Result pending · Sat 18 Apr
Aurrerá VitoriaLWLWW
Kick-offSat 18 Apr, 16:30
Our tip1
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
DerioDLWWL
07 Nov 26HR. Union B2 - 3Tercera División RFEF Group 4
31 Oct 26APasaia KE3 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
24 Oct 26HLagun Onak2 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
17 Oct 26ATouring0 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
10 Oct 26ADurango1 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
Aurrerá VitoriaLWLWW
08 Nov 26AAretxabaleta3 - 0Tercera División RFEF Group 4
31 Oct 26HSanturtzi2 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
24 Oct 26ASan Ignacio0 - 5Tercera División RFEF Group 4
17 Oct 26HReal Sociedad III2 - 0Tercera División RFEF Group 4
10 Oct 26ALeioa0 - 4Tercera División RFEF Group 4

Head to head

Derio 0 · Draws 2 · Aurrerá Vitoria 0 (2 meetings)

18 Apr 26Derio1 - 1Aurrerá VitoriaTercera División RFEF - Group 4
13 Dec 25Aurrerá Vitoria1 - 1DerioTercera División RFEF - Group 4

Full head to head: Derio vs Aurrerá Vitoria →

Our prediction

Derio to win

Double chance
12  •  Derio or Aurrerá Vitoria
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on Deriolast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Aurrerá Vitorialast 13 tipped matches
6/1346%
Our tips in Tercera División RFEF Group 4last 30 days
19/3653%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 49%Under 2.5: 51%
Expected goals
1.91Derio
2.62Total
0.71Aurrerá Vitoria

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Derio win 14%
2 – 0 Derio win 13%
1 – 1 Draw 10%
2 – 1 Derio win 9%
3 – 0 Derio win 8% Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Derio53%
Draw11%
Aurrerá Vitoria36%

Derio vs Aurrerá Vitoria preview

Derio host Aurrerá Vitoria in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 (Spain) on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Derio a 53% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Aurrerá Vitoria 36%. That makes our pick Derio to win with 60% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Derio or Aurrerá Vitoria) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.9 for Derio, 0.7 for Aurrerá Vitoria). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Derio have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Aurrerá Vitoria have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-W-W), scoring 7 and conceding 10. In their last 2 meetings, Derio won 0, Aurrerá Vitoria won 0 and 2 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Derio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?

Our prediction is Derio to win (60% confidence). Win chances: Derio 53%, draw 11%, Aurrerá Vitoria 36%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).

What time is Derio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?

Derio vs Aurrerá Vitoria (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Derio vs Aurrerá Vitoria?

The double chance 12 (Derio or Aurrerá Vitoria) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.