Derio vs Beasain Prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 4 · Sun 4 Oct 2026
Spain flag Spain : Tercera División RFEF Group 4
DerioLWWLL
2 - 0
Full time · HT 2 - 0
BeasainWWDLW
Kick-offSun 4 Oct, 17:30
Our tip2 @ 2.50 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
DerioLWWLL
14 Nov 26AEibar III0 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
07 Nov 26HR. Union B2 - 3Tercera División RFEF Group 4
31 Oct 26APasaia KE3 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
24 Oct 26HLagun Onak2 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
17 Oct 26ATouring0 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
BeasainWWDLW
07 Nov 26HAmurrio Club6 - 0Tercera División RFEF Group 4
01 Nov 26AEibar III1 - 3Tercera División RFEF Group 4
24 Oct 26HR. Union B1 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
17 Oct 26APasaia KE4 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
10 Oct 26HLagun Onak4 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4

Head to head

Full head to head: Derio vs Beasain →

Our prediction

Beasain to win

@ 2.50
Double chance
12  •  Derio or Beasain
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Deriolast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Beasainlast 17 tipped matches
5/1729%
Our tips in Tercera División RFEF Group 4last 30 days
22/4154%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 26%Under 2.5: 74%
Expected goals
1.09Derio
1.75Total
0.66Beasain

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
0 – 1 Beasain win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 0 Derio win 9% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.50
1 – 2 Beasain win 8% @ 8.50

Final score: 2 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Derio38%
Draw18%
Beasain44%

Odds (1X2)

12.50
X3.10
22.50

Derio vs Beasain preview and result

Derio and Beasain met in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 2 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Derio a 38% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Beasain 44%. Our pick was Beasain to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.50. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Derio or Beasain) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 1.8 goals (1.1 for Derio, 0.7 for Beasain). The chance of three or more goals is 26%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Derio have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-L), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Beasain have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-W), scoring 16 and conceding 7.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Derio vs Beasain?

Our pre-match prediction is Beasain to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.50. Win chances: Derio 38%, draw 18%, Beasain 44%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derio vs Beasain?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 26%).

What time is Derio vs Beasain?

Derio vs Beasain (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) was played on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Derio vs Beasain?

The double chance 12 (Derio or Beasain) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.