Derio vs Durango Prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 4 · Thu 19 Mar 2026
Spain flag Spain : Tercera División RFEF Group 4
DerioDLWWL
4 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Durango
Kick-offThu 19 Mar, 17:00
Our tip1 @ 1.80 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
DerioDLWWL
07 Nov 26HR. Union B2 - 3Tercera División RFEF Group 4
31 Oct 26APasaia KE3 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
24 Oct 26HLagun Onak2 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
17 Oct 26ATouring0 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
10 Oct 26ADurango1 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
Durango

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Derio vs Durango →

Our prediction

Derio to win

@ 1.80
Double chance
1X  •  Derio or Draw
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Deriolast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Tercera División RFEF Group 4last 30 days
20/3754%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 43%Under 2.5: 57%
Expected goals
1.32Derio
2.40Total
1.08Durango

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Derio win 11% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 7.50
2 – 0 Derio win 9% @ 8.50
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 9.00
2 – 1 Derio win 8% @ 10.00

Final score: 4 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Derio67%
Draw17%
Durango16%

Odds (1X2)

11.80
X3.50
23.60

Derio vs Durango preview and result

Derio and Durango met in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 17:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Derio a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Durango 16%. Our pick was Derio to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.80. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Derio or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.3 for Derio, 1.1 for Durango). The chance of three or more goals is 43%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Derio have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Derio vs Durango?

Our pre-match prediction is Derio to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.80. Win chances: Derio 67%, draw 17%, Durango 16%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derio vs Durango?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 43%).

What time is Derio vs Durango?

Derio vs Durango (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) was played on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 17:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Derio vs Durango?

The double chance 1X (Derio or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.