Derio vs Real Sociedad III Prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 4 · Sun 22 Feb 2026
Spain flag Spain : Tercera División RFEF Group 4
DerioDLWWL
3 - 1
0'
Kick-offSun 22 Feb, 17:00
Our tip1
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence65%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
DerioDLWWL
07 Nov 26HR. Union B2 - 3Tercera División RFEF Group 4
31 Oct 26APasaia KE3 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
24 Oct 26HLagun Onak2 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
17 Oct 26ATouring0 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 4
10 Oct 26ADurango1 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 4
Real Sociedad III

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Derio vs Real Sociedad III →

Our prediction

Derio to win

Double chance
12  •  Derio or Real Sociedad III
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
65%

Our record

Our tips on Deriolast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Tercera División RFEF Group 4last 30 days
19/3653%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.68Derio
2.50Total
0.82Real Sociedad III

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Derio win 14%
2 – 0 Derio win 12%
1 – 1 Draw 11%
2 – 1 Derio win 9%
0 – 0 Draw 8%
3 – 0 Derio win 6% Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Derio56%
Draw11%
Real Sociedad III33%

Derio vs Real Sociedad III preview

Derio v Real Sociedad III in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 is under way – the score is 3 - 1 (0').

Our model gives Derio a 56% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Real Sociedad III 33%. That makes our pick Derio to win with 65% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Derio or Real Sociedad III) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.7 for Derio, 0.8 for Real Sociedad III). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Derio have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-W-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Derio vs Real Sociedad III?

Our prediction is Derio to win (65% confidence). Win chances: Derio 56%, draw 11%, Real Sociedad III 33%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derio vs Real Sociedad III?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Derio vs Real Sociedad III?

Derio vs Real Sociedad III (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Derio vs Real Sociedad III?

The double chance 12 (Derio or Real Sociedad III) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.