Estonia vs Bulgaria Prediction

UEFA Nations League · Mon 16 Nov 2026
Europe : UEFA Nations League
Estonia
18:00
Mon 16 Nov, 18:00
Bulgaria
Kick-offMon 16 Nov, 18:00
Our tip1
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence60%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Estonia 0 · Draws 1 · Bulgaria 0 (1 meetings)

29 Sep 26Bulgaria0 - 0EstoniaUEFA Nations League

Full head to head: Estonia vs Bulgaria →

Our prediction

Estonia to win

Double chance
12  •  Estonia or Bulgaria
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
60%

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 16%Under 2.5: 84%
Expected goals
0.55Estonia
1.38Total
0.83Bulgaria

Possible correct scores

0 – 0 Draw 25%
0 – 1 Bulgaria win 21%
1 – 0 Estonia win 14% Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 11%
0 – 2 Bulgaria win 9%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Estonia52%
Draw11%
Bulgaria37%

Estonia vs Bulgaria preview

Estonia host Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League (Europe) on Monday 16 November 2026 at 18:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Estonia a 52% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Bulgaria 37%. That makes our pick Estonia to win with 60% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Estonia or Bulgaria) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 1.4 goals (0.6 for Estonia, 0.8 for Bulgaria). The chance of three or more goals is 16%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (90% confidence).

Form and head to head

In their last 1 meeting, Estonia won 0, Bulgaria won 0 and 1 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Estonia vs Bulgaria?

Our prediction is Estonia to win (60% confidence). Win chances: Estonia 52%, draw 11%, Bulgaria 37%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Estonia vs Bulgaria?

We expect about 1.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 16%).

What time is Estonia vs Bulgaria?

Estonia vs Bulgaria (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 18:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Estonia vs Bulgaria?

The double chance 12 (Estonia or Bulgaria) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.